Palace8709

Other 97% +$2,534 $219,026 vol · 403 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$168	win
Will GBP/USD hit 1.60 (High) in 2026?	No	70¢	92¢	+$38	win
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will EUR/USD hit 1.16 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	73¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.20% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Aespa release a song in 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Cagliari qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Daniel Jones play for Indianapolis Colts in 2026-27?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Verona qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Lecce qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win

Politics 97% +$1,719 $61,943 vol · 76 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	80¢	58¢	$-84	loss
Trump announces Attorney General pick by April 10, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 10, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	99¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?	Yes	61¢	0¢	+$50	win
Will Trump or Melania say "Strait" or "Hormuz" at Chicago Opening Night?	No	98¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on March 27, 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win

Sports 100% +$694 $33,733 vol · 88 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Alverca win Primeira Liga?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Bill Self win the Men's 2026 Naismith Coach of the Year award?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Javontae Campbell win the 2026 Naismith Defensive Player of the Year?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will St. John’s advance to the National Championship?	No	98¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Houston advance to the Final Four?	No	98¢	100¢	+$66	win
Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Idaho win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Idaho advance to the Sweet Sixteen?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Michigan advance to the Quarterfinals?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Wales win the 2026 Six Nations championship?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Crypto 100% +$180 $3,209 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Bitcoin" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 13)	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Martin Stanchev / Vritti Sethi win the Veolia Texas Open (Mixed Doubles) tournament?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Natalia Simson / Vritti Sethi win the Veolia Texas Open (Women's Doubles) tournament?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Netherlands make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?	Yes	51¢	0¢	+$147	win
Will Umbra Gateway win the ETHDenver BUIDLathon?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 15)	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 25)	No	98¢	100¢	+$17	win

Weather 100% +$74 $3,526 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 7, 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on March 17?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C or higher on March 16?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$31	win
Will Jorja Johnson / Tyra Hurricane Black win the 2026 Carvana Masters Women's Doubles tournament?	No	98¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will Tyra Hurricane Black / Christian Alshon win the 2026 Carvana Masters Mixed Doubles tournament?	No	99¢	100¢	+$11	win

Economy 100% +$42 $3,187 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JT Toppin win the 2025-2026 Naismith Men's College Player of the Year Award?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Canada’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≤6.5%?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Howard Bison vs. Coppin State Eagles	Howard Bison	98¢	100¢	+$13	win
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguars	Southern Jaguars	93¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be exactly 0.4%?	No	98¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be above 0.4%?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$2	win

Esports 100% +$36 $1,780 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will S8UL Esports advance to the match point finals?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Wolves Esports advance to the match point finals?	No	98¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will LEGACY win the Apex Legends Global Series 2026 Championship?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Culture 100% +$9 $561 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kanye West release an album in 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will "Grammy" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 15)	No	97¢	100¢	+$9	win

Mentions 100% +$8 $425 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 22, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will "Mention" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?	No	95¢	100¢	+$8	win

Geopolitics 95% $-425 $60,906 vol · 39 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?	Ceasefire	99¢	100¢	+$121	win
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 10, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 9, 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 7, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by March 31?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will "Military" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 13)	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$3	win
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$27	win
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-32	loss

Tech 89% $-1,264 $9,753 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 19?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Starmer say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 8)	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 25)	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	93¢	100¢	$-1,384	loss
Will Melania say "ChatGPT" during AI talk on Friday?	No	93¢	100¢	+$90	win
Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?	No	96¢	100¢	+$10	win

Elections 70% $-12,349 $39,287 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bárður á Steig Nielsen be the next Løgmaður of the Faroe Islands following the 2026 Faroese general election?	No	99¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Beinir Johannesen be the next Løgmaður of the Faroe Islands following the 2026 Faroese general election?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Luis Antonio Revilla win the 2026 La Paz gubernatorial election?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$39	win
Will René Yahuasi Calamani win the 2026 La Paz gubernatorial election?	No	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Left-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?	No	100¢	100¢	+$31	win
Will Emmanuel Grégoire advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000 voters?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be less than 46%?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win fewer than 250 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-45	loss

Finance 88% $-17,787 $20,624 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Main Street Sports Sale/Merger by January 31?	No	98¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will "Pam" or "Bondi" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 15)	No	97¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?	No	66¢	0¢	$-8,325	loss
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	69¢	0¢	$-9,515	loss
Will S&P Global say "Dow Jones" during earnings call?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will S&P Global say "Portfolio Optimization" during earnings call?	No	98¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will United Airlines say "Nonstop" or "Non-Stop" during earnings call?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win