whiteflower

Geopolitics 48% +$126 $1,308 vol · 27 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	54¢	30¢	$-13	loss
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	43¢	16¢	$-23	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	No	54¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?	Yes	44¢	0¢	$-8	loss
Israel x Syria security agreement by January 31?	Yes	32¢	0¢	$-41	loss
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?	No	63¢	100¢	+$12	win
Another ATACMS strike into Russian territory by December 31?	No	49¢	100¢	+$31	win
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by December 31?	No	52¢	100¢	+$11	win
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?	Yes	7¢	0¢	+$5	win
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?	No	52¢	100¢	$-0	loss

Finance 67% +$102 $218 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?	No	49¢	83¢	+$61	win
Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	47¢	5¢	$-6	loss
Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	63¢	95¢	+$47	win

Culture 100% +$76 $20 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Netflix acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?	Yes	21¢	100¢	+$76	win

Crypto 59% +$71 $1,651 vol · 51 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?	No	47¢	52¢	+$10	win
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	62¢	100¢	+$15	win
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	62¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	49¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	58¢	100¢	+$18	win
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	62¢	100¢	+$16	win
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	63¢	100¢	+$15	win
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	63¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	60¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	61¢	0¢	$-25	loss

Politics 50% +$40 $138 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-10	loss
Will Trump sue the BBC?	Yes	49¢	100¢	+$49	win

Sports 50% +$36 $55 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	15¢	11¢	$-1	loss
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Josh Hokit	47¢	100¢	+$37	win

Tech 100% +$17 $70 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	Yes	14¢	5¢	+$3	win
Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?	No	61¢	100¢	+$14	win

Economy 0% $-30 $30 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-30	loss

Other 38% $-246 $3,176 vol · 93 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-7	loss
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?	Yes	40¢	30¢	$-7	loss
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?	No	57¢	80¢	+$21	win
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?	Yes	23¢	2¢	$-8	loss
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	21¢	26¢	+$21	win
Will Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?	Yes	64¢	38¢	$-13	loss
Will Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?	Yes	64¢	0¢	$-50	loss
X Money released by April 30, 2026?	No	36¢	69¢	+$20	win
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-18?	Yes	55¢	55¢	$-0	loss
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-27	loss