Win rate
37.8%
14 W / 23 L
Total PnL
$2,025
realized $-1,440 · unrealized $3,465
Portfolio
$3,465
volume $102,804
Predictions
41
0.6/day · avg $2,507
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 29/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 44% +$2,751
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 24¢ | 16¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Yes | 46¢ | 77¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 25¢ | 58¢ | +$921 | win |
| Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? | No | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$591 | win |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-84 | loss |
| Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025? | Yes | 39¢ | 0¢ | +$62 | win |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) | KT Rolster | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$11 | win |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) | T1 | 50¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | loss |
Geopolitics 31% +$588
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$273 | win |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $-61 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 85¢ | 86¢ | $-36 | loss |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 15¢ | 6¢ | $-103 | loss |
| US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026? | No | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-154 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-81 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | loss |
Economy 33% +$257
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-59 | loss |
Esports 100% +$135
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs | G2 Esports | 28¢ | 0¢ | +$61 | win |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner | T1 | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | win |
Politics 0% $-24
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 18¢ | 8¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Yes | 40¢ | 56¢ | $-2 | loss |
Tech 0% $-85
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale? | No | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | loss |
Recent Trades (37)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026? | No | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | $-154 | $230 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 94.3¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $201 | 10/04/2026 |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs | G2 Esports | 28.0¢ | 0¢ | +$61 | $100 | 22/03/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.9¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | $78 | 31/01/2026 |
| Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale? | Yes | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $50 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale? | No | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | $150 | 01/01/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Yes | 9.9¢ | 0¢ | $-81 | $133 | 31/12/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 39.5¢ | 100¢ | +$370 | $640 | 10/12/2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | $108 | 10/12/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $-59 | $35 | 10/12/2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? | No | 41.7¢ | 100¢ | +$591 | $479 | 15/11/2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7? | Yes | 7.0¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | $42 | 15/11/2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? | Yes | 5.6¢ | 0¢ | $-84 | $113 | 15/11/2025 |
| Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025? | Yes | 23.0¢ | 100¢ | +$405 | $356 | 09/11/2025 |
| Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025? | Yes | 38.9¢ | 0¢ | +$62 | $100 | 09/11/2025 |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) | KT Rolster | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | +$11 | $60 | 09/11/2025 |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) | T1 | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | $60 | 09/11/2025 |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner | T1 | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | $126 | 02/11/2025 |
| Games Total: O/U 3.5 | Over | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $100 | 01/11/2025 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) | KT Rolster | 13.0¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $26 | 01/11/2025 |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5) | T1 | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $60 | 31/10/2025 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | 33.3¢ | 100¢ | +$686 | $343 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $60 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 14.6¢ | 6¢ | $-103 | $186 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 16¢ | +$32 | $300 | 21/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 85.0¢ | 86¢ | $-36 | $399 | 21/04/2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Yes | 17.9¢ | 52¢ | +$941 | $500 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 25.0¢ | 58¢ | +$921 | $687 | 30/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Yes | 40.0¢ | 56¢ | $-2 | $64 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Yes | 46.2¢ | 77¢ | $-16 | $260 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | Yes | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $45 | 31/05/2026 |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 65.9¢ | 100¢ | +$273 | $747 | 30/06/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | Yes | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | $203 | 30/06/2026 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | Yes | 9.0¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | $50 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey? | Yes | 2.4¢ | 1¢ | $-61 | $149 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 18.0¢ | 8¢ | $-22 | $200 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 23.6¢ | 16¢ | $-34 | $176 | 31/12/2026 |