YYD78

Other 69% +$206 $5,068 vol · 32 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	96¢	96¢	+$0	win
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	62¢	64¢	+$13	win
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	57¢	51¢	$-5	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	75¢	63¢	$-24	loss
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	77¢	70¢	$-9	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	87¢	78¢	$-21	loss
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	91¢	92¢	+$6	win
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	71¢	74¢	+$6	win
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	90¢	97¢	+$24	win
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	70¢	100¢	+$30	win

Politics 71% +$60 $817 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	38¢	100¢	+$43	win
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	84¢	80¢	$-9	loss
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	96¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	85¢	68¢	$-10	loss
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?	No	83¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	86¢	90¢	+$12	win

Crypto 83% +$40 $1,068 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	95¢	97¢	+$2	win
Will BNB reach $700 in April?	No	93¢	79¢	$-16	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?	No	94¢	100¢	+$8	win

Economy 100% +$6 $154 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	90¢	97¢	+$3	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$4	win

Finance 0% $-3 $173 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	90¢	90¢	$-1	loss
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in March 2026?	No	96¢	100¢	$-2	loss

Weather 74% $-60 $1,982 vol · 34 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?	Yes	56¢	87¢	+$21	win
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 13?	No	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?	Yes	60¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 11?	No	88¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on April 9?	No	89¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 8?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?	Yes	58¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or higher on April 4?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 1?	No	97¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on March 30?	No	67¢	100¢	+$10	win

Tech 75% $-476 $2,398 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	93¢	99¢	+$3	win
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	61¢	22¢	$-78	loss
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 7?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 10?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?	Yes	91¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 13?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?	Yes	80¢	0¢	$-109	loss
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?	Yes	70¢	0¢	+$0	—

Geopolitics 62% $-544 $5,460 vol · 50 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	No	90¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	91¢	91¢	+$3	win
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	92¢	100¢	+$5	win
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$20	win
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	84¢	92¢	+$2	win
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	87¢	89¢	+$7	win
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	29¢	16¢	$-35	loss
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	75¢	66¢	$-26	loss
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	94¢	74¢	$-36	loss

Sports 45% $-3,440 $42,431 vol · 166 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	95¢	94¢	+$0	win
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	11¢	11¢	$-1	loss
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	Yes	92¢	95¢	+$7	win
Magic vs. 76ers	Magic	43¢	0¢	$-48	loss
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 218.5	Under	57¢	0¢	$-57	loss
Capitals vs. Blue Jackets	Blue Jackets	63¢	0¢	$-94	loss
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?	Yes	34¢	0¢	$-32	loss
Magic vs. Celtics	Magic	60¢	0¢	$-17	loss
Thunder vs. Nuggets	Thunder	45¢	0¢	$-8	loss
Suns vs. Lakers	Suns	56¢	0¢	$-37	loss