Win rate
53.2%
180 W / 158 L
Total PnL
$5,898
realized $-2,906 · unrealized $8,805
Portfolio
$8,805
volume $738,640
Predictions
351
2.7/day · avg $2,104
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 24/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 46% +$3,822
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | +$1 | win |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 69¢ | 74¢ | $-95 | loss |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | Yes | 81¢ | 95¢ | $-111 | loss |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | 27¢ | 76¢ | $-199 | loss |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | Yes | 24¢ | 29¢ | $-652 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$275 | win |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | Yes | 32¢ | 4¢ | $-18 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 1¢ | $-387 | loss |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | Yes | 40¢ | 57¢ | +$1,164 | win |
Other 54% +$2,427
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 52¢ | 4¢ | $-76 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 55¢ | 46¢ | +$452 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 74¢ | 46¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | No | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-413 | loss |
| Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff | Aryna Sabalenka | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Gauff (+1.5) | Sabalenka | 71¢ | 0¢ | $-186 | loss |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04? | Yes | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
| Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
| Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-03? | Yes | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | win |
| Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5) | Sinner | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
Politics 54% +$557
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 18¢ | 0¢ | +$253 | win |
| Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | win |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-67 | loss |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April? | Yes | 55¢ | 68¢ | +$152 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | Yes | 86¢ | 1¢ | +$3 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Yes | 46¢ | 56¢ | $-102 | loss |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April? | No | 58¢ | 32¢ | $-73 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 18¢ | 100¢ | $-44 | loss |
| Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | Yes | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-72 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | No | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$183 | win |
Sports 100% +$182
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H Moneyline | Seahawks | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$99 | win |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | Patriots | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$83 | win |
Crypto 33% +$27
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026? | No | 84¢ | 95¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | Up | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | Up | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-53 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | Up | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET | Up | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-03-27? | Yes | 59¢ | 100¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on March 11? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | loss |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 10? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 10? | Yes | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | Up | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
Finance 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? | Yes | 87¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | win |
Culture 62% $-31
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$91 | win |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-159 | loss |
| Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-215 | loss |
| Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$208 | win |
| Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | win |
| Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-67 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 61.4¢ | 100¢ | +$4,331 | $12,575 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | 26.0¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $401 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 65.0¢ | 90¢ | $-35 | $2,277 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 66.8¢ | 90¢ | $-27 | $1,005 | 07/04/2026 |
| Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff | Aryna Sabalenka | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $216 | 04/04/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Gauff (+1.5) | Sabalenka | 71.5¢ | 0¢ | $-186 | $201 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04? | Yes | 44.4¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | $200 | 04/04/2026 |
| Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 54.9¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | $200 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-03? | Yes | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | $102 | 03/04/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5) | Sinner | 70.3¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $135 | 03/04/2026 |
| Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Fils | Arthur Fils | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | $204 | 03/04/2026 |
| Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Zverev | Alexander Zverev | 78.3¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $373 | 02/04/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5) | Zverev | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $23 | 02/04/2026 |
| Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur Fils | Arthur Fils | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | $-67 | $266 | 02/04/2026 |
| Sabalenka vs. Baptiste: Match O/U 21.5 | Under | 63.2¢ | 100¢ | +$98 | $168 | 01/04/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Halys (+1.5) | Zverev | 60.2¢ | 100¢ | +$97 | $202 | 01/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 0¢ | +$38 | $1,045 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | Up | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $47 | 31/03/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | Yes | 13.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $400 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Yes | 22.0¢ | 0¢ | +$-0 | $363 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31? | Yes | 20.1¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $499 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | Yes | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $466 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | 26.6¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | $241 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | Up | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-53 | $53 | 31/03/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Michelsen (+1.5) | Sinner | 74.8¢ | 100¢ | $-77 | $279 | 31/03/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Vacherot (+1.5) | Fils | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Korda (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5) | Korda | 77.0¢ | 0¢ | $-161 | $388 | 31/03/2026 |
| Norway vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 | Over | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-226 | $387 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | Up | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $25 | 30/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET | Up | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $28 | 30/03/2026 |
| Mexico vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-93 | $112 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-03-27? | Yes | 46.3¢ | 100¢ | +$77 | $123 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-03-27? | Yes | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | $-28 | $60 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Poland win on 2026-03-26? | Yes | 41.0¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $49 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will Italy win on 2026-03-26? | Yes | 75.6¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $300 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26? | Yes | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $200 | 26/03/2026 |
| Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 66.7¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | $336 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-22? | Yes | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $96 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-22? | Yes | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | $108 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-03-22? | Yes | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $482 | 22/03/2026 |
| FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $116 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-21? | Yes | 26.0¢ | 0¢ | +$208 | $197 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-21? | Yes | 42.0¢ | 100¢ | +$106 | $105 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-21? | Yes | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$96 | $103 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-21? | Yes | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | $-34 | $493 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21? | Yes | 33.4¢ | 0¢ | $-84 | $157 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21? | Yes | 60.1¢ | 100¢ | $-88 | $255 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-20? | Yes | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | $402 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20? | Yes | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | $72 | 20/03/2026 |
| FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5 | Over | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$90 | $314 | 19/03/2026 |