Win rate
40.9%
9 W / 13 L
Total PnL
$-1,848
realized $-2,826 · unrealized $979
Portfolio
$979
volume $54,631
Predictions
30
0.2/day · avg $1,821
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 04/04/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 50% +$65
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-123 | loss |
| Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$188 | win |
Economy 67% +$45
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession in 2025? | No | 41¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | +$38 | win |
| Will Jerome Powell say "unemployment" 8 or more times during the May meeting? | Yes | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Politics 0% $-10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on China before June? | Yes | 67¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | loss |
Other 44% $-259
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April? | No | 79¢ | 69¢ | $-127 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March? | Yes | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-194 | loss |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025? | No | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | win |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5? | Yes | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
Sports 50% $-840
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – Both Teams To Score? | Yes | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-1,030 | loss |
| FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance) | PSG | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$190 | win |
Crypto 20% $-870
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 13? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-175 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | Up | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Will PSG win in regulation? | Yes | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-334 | loss |
| Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94000 and $96000 on May 2? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-408 | loss |
Recent Trades (22)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 13? | Yes | 20.5¢ | 0¢ | $-175 | $185 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | Up | 16.5¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $33 | 09/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 69.7¢ | 0¢ | $-123 | $329 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March? | Yes | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $51 | 31/03/2026 |
| US recession in 2025? | No | 41.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $100 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Yes | 13.0¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | $104 | 10/12/2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? | Yes | 4.4¢ | 0¢ | $-194 | $245 | 15/11/2025 |
| Will PSG win in regulation? | Yes | 59.7¢ | 0¢ | $-334 | $334 | 13/07/2025 |
| FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – Both Teams To Score? | Yes | 65.6¢ | 0¢ | $-1,030 | $1,030 | 13/07/2025 |
| FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance) | PSG | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$190 | $610 | 09/07/2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | $1,312 | 01/07/2025 |
| Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday? | No | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$188 | $1,162 | 20/06/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Yes | 8.3¢ | 0¢ | +$38 | $100 | 18/06/2025 |
| Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on China before June? | Yes | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | $335 | 31/05/2025 |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025? | No | 48.9¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | $684 | 17/05/2025 |
| Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025? | Yes | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | +$60 | $30 | 17/05/2025 |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025? | Yes | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | +$30 | $480 | 17/05/2025 |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025? | Yes | 4.2¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $89 | 17/05/2025 |
| Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5? | Yes | 69.7¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 17/05/2025 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "unemployment" 8 or more times during the May meeting? | Yes | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $75 | 07/05/2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94000 and $96000 on May 2? | Yes | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-408 | $1,310 | 02/05/2025 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April? | No | 78.5¢ | 69¢ | $-127 | $1,115 | 30/04/2026 |