Win rate
31.2%
10 W / 22 L
Total PnL
$-58,793
realized $-137,411 · unrealized $78,619
Portfolio
$78,619
volume $789,920
Predictions
30
1.0/day · avg $26,331
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 13/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Politics 0% $-2,276
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 44¢ | 62¢ | $-2,276 | loss |
Other 12% $-8,328
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | Yes | 40¢ | 36¢ | $-277 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? | No | 29¢ | 79¢ | $-472 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | Yes | 40¢ | 38¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$432 | win |
Crypto 67% $-16,841
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 60¢ | 58¢ | $-428 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | No | 58¢ | 64¢ | +$1,099 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-7,380 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | No | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$394 | win |
Geopolitics 21% $-27,501
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 41¢ | 34¢ | +$104 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | No | 32¢ | 0¢ | +$97 | win |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | No | 81¢ | 96¢ | +$22 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | No | 42¢ | 19¢ | $-9,534 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | No | 74¢ | 60¢ | $-1,201 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 20¢ | 20¢ | $-25 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | 40¢ | 100¢ | $-205 | loss |
Recent Trades (32)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | 49.9¢ | 20¢ | $-7,012 | $9,261 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March? | Yes | 57.4¢ | 100¢ | +$773 | $2,660 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | No | 71.6¢ | 100¢ | +$394 | $1,000 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Yes | 50.3¢ | 100¢ | +$322 | $3,920 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | Yes | 21.3¢ | 0¢ | $-7,380 | $12,293 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | Yes | 9.7¢ | 0¢ | $-12,855 | $12,854 | 01/04/2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$432 | $5,523 | 13/03/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | $-205 | $1,200 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 20¢ | $-25 | $1,000 | 22/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 85.4¢ | 80¢ | $-779 | $5,840 | 22/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | Yes | 33.8¢ | 9¢ | $-2,287 | $3,180 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 40.0¢ | 40¢ | $-44 | $3,499 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? | Yes | 48.1¢ | 13¢ | $-2,436 | $3,391 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? | Yes | 61.6¢ | 21¢ | $-1,960 | $2,981 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April? | No | 42.4¢ | 0¢ | $-1,311 | $1,320 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | Yes | 40.2¢ | 38¢ | $-17 | $402 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? | No | 29.5¢ | 79¢ | $-472 | $1,180 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | No | 74.3¢ | 60¢ | $-1,201 | $5,480 | 30/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 43.9¢ | 62¢ | $-2,276 | $5,286 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | No | 41.8¢ | 19¢ | $-9,534 | $12,169 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | No | 57.6¢ | 64¢ | +$1,099 | $10,919 | 01/05/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | No | 33.6¢ | 15¢ | $-5,835 | $6,856 | 15/05/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 43.4¢ | 32¢ | $-706 | $2,690 | 31/05/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | No | 58.0¢ | 42¢ | $-872 | $3,082 | 31/05/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | No | 20.7¢ | 10¢ | $-1,511 | $2,831 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | Yes | 39.8¢ | 36¢ | $-277 | $2,548 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | No | 81.0¢ | 96¢ | +$22 | $118 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 41.0¢ | 34¢ | +$104 | $1,062 | 31/12/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | No | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | +$97 | $1,024 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 37.2¢ | 38¢ | +$711 | $20,092 | 01/01/2027 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 48.0¢ | 50¢ | +$522 | $16,771 | 01/01/2027 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 60.0¢ | 58¢ | $-428 | $17,648 | 01/01/2027 |