Win rate
71.4%
10 W / 4 L
Total PnL
$396
realized $-5,054 · unrealized $5,450
Portfolio
$5,450
volume $66,251
Predictions
14
0.4/day · avg $4,732
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 02/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Economy 100% +$571
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$452 | win |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$119 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$270
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$8 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$137 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | win |
Esports 50% +$14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | FOKUS | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs | G2 | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$164 | win |
Crypto 0% $-291
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | No | 68¢ | 52¢ | $-291 | loss |
Other 60% $-434
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 81¢ | 47¢ | $-777 | loss |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on April 12, 2026? | No | 85¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12? | Yes | 47¢ | 0¢ | +$128 | win |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Recent Trades (14)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be less than 4 on April 12, 2026? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$209 | $3,966 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12? | Yes | 47.4¢ | 0¢ | +$128 | $317 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on April 12, 2026? | No | 85.0¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | $254 | 12/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | FOKUS | 75.0¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | $150 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3? | Yes | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $571 | 03/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs | G2 | 86.1¢ | 100¢ | +$164 | $1,013 | 01/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | No | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | +$137 | $3,980 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | $5,438 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$119 | $5,326 | 18/03/2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | No | 68.0¢ | 52¢ | $-291 | $1,172 | 31/12/2025 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | $1,514 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | +$452 | $10,236 | 29/04/2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026? | No | 98.1¢ | 99¢ | +$8 | $1,248 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 81.0¢ | 47¢ | $-777 | $4,166 | 30/04/2026 |