plypengu1n

Geopolitics 0% $-0 $129 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	$-0	loss

Tech 0% $-2 $32 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of April?	Yes	82¢	77¢	$-2	loss

Elections 57% $-6 $376 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	21¢	23¢	+$2	win
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	86¢	90¢	+$0	win
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?	No	97¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 15-18%?	No	89¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?	Yes	90¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-8	loss

Sports 0% $-14 $150 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	Yes	36¢	30¢	$-13	loss
NHL Playoffs: Wild vs. Stars Total Games O/U 5.5	Over 5.5	67¢	66¢	$-1	loss

Other 67% $-19 $399 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	69¢	64¢	$-7	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	27¢	24¢	$-18	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	76¢	76¢	+$0	win
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?	No	81¢	86¢	+$3	win
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	99¢	99¢	+$1	win

Weather 0% $-24 $643 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on April 20?	No	99¢	99¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 62°F or higher on April 20?	Yes	99¢	99¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 40°F or higher on April 20?	Yes	100¢	99¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 69°F or below on April 20?	Yes	92¢	94¢	$-7	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 62°F or higher on April 19?	Yes	100¢	99¢	$-1	loss
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 18?	No	99¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on April 18?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on April 18?	No	99¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 18?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-12	loss