Win rate
59.5%
128 W / 87 L
Total PnL
$902
realized $185 · unrealized $716
Portfolio
$716
volume $242,690
Predictions
257
2.6/day · avg $944
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 18/11/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Finance 70% +$793
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 10? | Down | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-89 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 9? | Down | 70¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6? | Down | 44¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 2? | Down | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 2? | Down | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$28 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 1? | Down | 8¢ | 0¢ | +$57 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 1? | Down | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 31? | Down | 20¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | Down | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | Up | 43¢ | 100¢ | $-45 | loss |
Sports 62% +$222
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 10? | Down | 70¢ | 100¢ | $-17 | loss |
| World Chess Championship 2024 Winner | Ding | 36¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Lakers vs. Suns | Lakers | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Ravens vs. Chargers | Ravens | 59¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Clippers vs. 76ers | Clippers | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | win |
| Pistons vs. Hornets | Hornets | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$98 | win |
| Jazz vs. Spurs | Spurs | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | win |
| Pacers vs. Raptors | Raptors | 38¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
Geopolitics 61% +$146
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | No | 22¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | No | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | Yes | 36¢ | 3¢ | $-2 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 65¢ | 57¢ | $-80 | loss |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7? | Yes | 46¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7? | No | 51¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | loss |
Politics 71% +$26
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? | No | 73¢ | 76¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 80¢ | 92¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 20¢ | 8¢ | +$13 | win |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | 46¢ | 40¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | Yes | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | No | 13¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
Mentions 57% +$24
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? | Yes | 86¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | Yes | 35¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | Yes | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026? | Yes | 24¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026? | No | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026? | No | 53¢ | 100¢ | $-31 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026? | Yes | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? | Yes | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? | No | 26¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
Other 58% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 78¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | Yes | 18¢ | 89¢ | +$50 | win |
| Crude Oil all time high by April 30? | Yes | 22¢ | 2¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 79¢ | 44¢ | $-104 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | $-158 | loss |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 34¢ | 16¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28? | Yes | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM? | No | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Tech 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meta (META) Up or Down on February 10? | Up | 19¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 0% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 50¢ | 44¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 50¢ | 56¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 95¢ | 95¢ | $-2 | loss |
Economy 0% $-5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024? | No | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting? | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Crypto 50% $-24
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April? | No | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-105 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | No | 24¢ | 0¢ | +$105 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will Hyperliquid launch a token in December? | No | 57¢ | 100¢ | $-49 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 10? | Down | 53.6¢ | 0¢ | $-89 | $609 | 10/04/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 9? | Down | 69.6¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | $61 | 09/04/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6? | Down | 43.6¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | $346 | 06/04/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 2? | Down | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $47 | 02/04/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 2? | Down | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | +$28 | $50 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | No | 24.4¢ | 0¢ | +$105 | $195 | 01/04/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 1? | Down | 7.7¢ | 0¢ | +$57 | $152 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Yes | 68.7¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $514 | 01/04/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 1? | Down | 22.0¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | $73 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31? | No | 22.0¢ | 100¢ | +$129 | $79 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March? | Yes | 24.8¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | $43 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | 18.4¢ | 0¢ | +$48 | $429 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | Yes | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | +$30 | $54 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March? | No | 81.9¢ | 0¢ | +$23 | $260 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $312 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | No | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $146 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | Yes | 36.4¢ | 0¢ | +$12 | $256 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $63 | 31/03/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $340 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $305 | 31/03/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 31? | Down | 20.2¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | $25 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7? | Yes | 46.2¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | $56 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 83.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $168 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7? | No | 51.2¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $41 | 31/03/2026 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 34.0¢ | 16¢ | $-2 | $68 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31? | Yes | 21.6¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | $56 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | No | 79.2¢ | 100¢ | $-158 | $1,920 | 31/03/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | Down | 60.6¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | $30 | 30/03/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | Up | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | $-45 | $558 | 30/03/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 27? | Down | 31.8¢ | 100¢ | +$334 | $690 | 27/03/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 25? | Down | 9.8¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | $40 | 25/03/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23? | Down | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | $23 | 23/03/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23? | Up | 34.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $51 | 23/03/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 20? | Down | 35.6¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | $454 | 20/03/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 20? | Down | 68.7¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $212 | 20/03/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 18? | Down | 9.7¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | $84 | 18/03/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 18? | Down | 24.5¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $75 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? | Yes | 13.5¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $29 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? | Yes | 86.1¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | $751 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | Yes | 34.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $44 | 17/03/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 17? | Up | 33.6¢ | 100¢ | $-9 | $45 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | Yes | 25.6¢ | 0¢ | +$12 | $83 | 13/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | Yes | 16.1¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $34 | 13/03/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 12? | Up | 10.4¢ | 0¢ | +$197 | $490 | 12/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | Yes | 18.6¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $94 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | Yes | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | +$15 | $207 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | Yes | 55.1¢ | 0¢ | +$11 | $687 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | Yes | 10.7¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $62 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | Yes | 29.7¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | $76 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026? | Yes | 24.3¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $24 | 09/03/2026 |