Win rate
69.2%
9 W / 4 L
Total PnL
$187
realized $-1,264 · unrealized $1,451
Portfolio
$1,451
volume $2,962
Predictions
20
2.6/day · avg $148
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 09/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 82% +$169
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | Yes | 52¢ | 60¢ | +$87 | win |
| Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 240m? | Yes | 56¢ | 76¢ | +$4 | win |
| Uber # of trips above 3.8B in Q1? | Yes | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$2 | win |
| DoorDash total orders above 960M in Q1? | No | 50¢ | 57¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 33¢ | 24¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April? | No | 30¢ | 30¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $600b on April 30? | Yes | 16¢ | 7¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026? | No | 49¢ | 76¢ | +$25 | win |
| Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April? | Yes | 58¢ | 70¢ | +$9 | win |
| Spotify Monthly Active Users above 780M in Q1? | No | 54¢ | 93¢ | +$38 | win |
Politics 0% $-61
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? | Yes | 66¢ | 62¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during the next White House press briefing? | No | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | loss |
Recent Trades (13)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spotify Monthly Active Users above 780M in Q1? | No | 53.8¢ | 93¢ | +$38 | $53 | 28/04/2026 |
| Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 33.4¢ | 24¢ | $-23 | $78 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April? | No | 29.5¢ | 30¢ | +$1 | $50 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30? | Yes | 13.5¢ | 30¢ | +$25 | $20 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $600b on April 30? | Yes | 16.4¢ | 7¢ | $-13 | $22 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during the next White House press briefing? | No | 43.9¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $47 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026? | No | 48.9¢ | 76¢ | +$25 | $45 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April? | Yes | 57.6¢ | 70¢ | +$9 | $40 | 30/04/2026 |
| Uber # of trips above 3.8B in Q1? | Yes | 11.4¢ | 12¢ | +$2 | $39 | 06/05/2026 |
| DoorDash total orders above 960M in Q1? | No | 49.9¢ | 57¢ | +$13 | $87 | 06/05/2026 |
| Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 240m? | Yes | 56.0¢ | 76¢ | +$4 | $39 | 14/05/2026 |
| Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? | Yes | 65.5¢ | 62¢ | $-14 | $226 | 02/06/2026 |
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | Yes | 51.7¢ | 60¢ | +$87 | $514 | 31/12/2026 |