Win rate
60.0%
3 W / 2 L
Total PnL
$485
realized $-1,143 · unrealized $1,628
Portfolio
$1,628
volume $28,499
Predictions
17
0.2/day · avg $1,676
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 02/11/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Politics 100% +$229
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026? | No | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | win |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | No | 60¢ | 69¢ | +$96 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | No | 73¢ | 86¢ | +$74 | win |
Other 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 64¢ | 78¢ | +$0 | — |
Geopolitics 0% $-10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | loss |
Weather 0% $-38
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 19? | No | 87¢ | 80¢ | $-38 | loss |
Recent Trades (6)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 19? | No | 87.2¢ | 80¢ | $-38 | $500 | 19/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | No | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | $20 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | No | 72.5¢ | 86¢ | +$74 | $400 | 21/04/2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | No | 59.5¢ | 69¢ | +$96 | $590 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026? | No | 62.1¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | $100 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 64.0¢ | 78¢ | +$0 | $200 | 30/04/2026 |