averagerandomman

Tech 100% +$224 $888 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?	Yes	10¢	100¢	+$127	win
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?	No	96¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Meta have the top AI model on May 31?	Yes	-0¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	—

Finance 100% +$0 $253 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Florian Lipowitz win the Tour de France 2025?	Yes	-0¢	0¢	+$0	win

Esports 100% +$0 $361 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will GAM Esports win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?	Yes	-0¢	0¢	+$0	win

Culture 0% +$0 $25 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Miami GP pole?	No	67¢	100¢	+$0	—

Geopolitics 0% +$0 $454 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 Stanley Cup?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—

Weather 0% +$0 $104 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?	No	85¢	100¢	+$0	—

Economy 0% $-13 $126 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?	No	89¢	100¢	$-13	loss

Elections 58% $-76 $81,733 vol · 93 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will NDP win between 10 and 15 seats in the next Canadian Election?	No	68¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?	No	74¢	100¢	$-40	loss
Will the Liberals win between 140-149 seats in the next Canadian Election?	No	98¢	100¢	$-38	loss
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 3-6%?	No	95¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Will the Conservatives win between 120-139 seats in the next Canadian Election?	No	47¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Mircea Geoană win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	-0¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will George Simion win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?	No	25¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?	Yes	17¢	100¢	+$54	win
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?	No	74¢	0¢	$-53	loss
Will Sławomir Mentzen win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—

Other 89% $-111 $71,787 vol · 195 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the next Pope be from Asia?	No	83¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?	No	99¢	100¢	$-39	loss
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15?	No	91¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on July 31?	Yes	10¢	0¢	+$127	win
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on July 31?	No	99¢	100¢	$-157	loss
Will Felix Gall win the Tour de France 2025?	Yes	-0¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will Primoz Roglic win the Tour de France 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will another team win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?	Yes	-0¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will Bilibili Gaming win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-8	loss

Politics 53% $-359 $27,960 vol · 28 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Lee Nak-yon be elected the next president of South Korea?	Yes	-0¢	0¢	+$8	win
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be the People's Power Party candidate for president?	Yes	-0¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea?	No	98¢	100¢	$-115	loss
Will Han Duck-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?	No	96¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Will Trump pardon 1,250-1,499 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$0	win
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?	No	80¢	100¢	$-16	loss
Trump meets with Zelenskyy in March?	Yes	31¢	0¢	+$17	win
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?	No	60¢	0¢	$-36	loss

Mentions 31% $-420 $27,038 vol · 63 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?	No	82¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?	No	94¢	100¢	$-25	loss
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 11–18?	Yes	8¢	0¢	+$79	win
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 11–18?	No	97¢	100¢	$-126	loss
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 4–11?	Yes	22¢	0¢	+$26	win
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 4–11?	No	91¢	100¢	$-21	loss
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 25–May 2?	No	75¢	100¢	$-30	loss

Sports 46% $-687 $6,977 vol · 55 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Aryna Sabalenka win Wimbledon 2025?	Yes	59¢	0¢	$-1,833	loss
Will Oliver Bearman win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?	No	100¢	100¢	$-209	loss
Will RJ Barrett win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?	Yes	-0¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will Switzerland win the 2025 IIHF World Championship?	No	90¢	100¢	$-10	loss

Crypto 39% $-289,526 $19,754,304 vol · 9442 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-38	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 17?	No	100¢	99¢	$-485	loss
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	$-212	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17?	No	99¢	99¢	$-454	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 17?	Yes	8¢	5¢	+$8	win
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 17?	Yes	10¢	15¢	+$25	win
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 17?	No	97¢	93¢	$-95	loss
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 17?	Yes	91¢	99¢	$-161	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 16?	Yes	12¢	0¢	+$233	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 16?	No	100¢	100¢	$-718	loss