Win rate
60.9%
360 W / 231 L
Total PnL
$-1,554
realized $-2,605 · unrealized $1,050
Portfolio
$1,050
volume $128,638
Predictions
2,876
167.9/day · avg $45
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 27/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 85% +$384
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | No | 85¢ | 90¢ | +$1 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 59¢ | 59¢ | +$0 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 87¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Senators vs. Devils | Devils | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Senators vs. Devils | Senators | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Thiago Agustin Tirante | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 6.5 | Over | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | win |
| Hurricanes vs. Senators | Senators | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$180 | win |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5 | Over | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Other 62% +$313
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? | No | 45¢ | 90¢ | +$44 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 54¢ | 46¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Barcelona Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jack Draper | Tomas Etcheverry | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
| Oeiras 3: Gastao Elias vs Joel Schwaerzler | Joel Schwaerzler | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | win |
| Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Daria Kasatkina vs Ann Li | Ann Li | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| BMW Open: Alexander Blockx vs Yannick Hanfmann | Alexander Blockx | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Barcelona Open: Ignacio Buse vs Corentin Moutet | Corentin Moutet | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton | Ben Shelton | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Oeiras 3: Robin Montgomery vs Mayar Sherif | Robin Montgomery | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Oeiras 3: Sinja Kraus vs Oksana Selekhmeteva | Sinja Kraus | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
Weather 100% +$20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on April 2? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on March 29? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on March 29? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | Duke Blue Devils | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
Politics 100% +$7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump say "Third term" in March? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Finance 100% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Credit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Anna Bondar | Madison Keys | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Crypto 33% $-14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | Yes | 63¢ | 60¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Barcelona Open: Reilly Opelka vs Ethan Quinn | Ethan Quinn | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Barcelona Open, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
Elections 54% $-25
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 83¢ | 90¢ | +$48 | win |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 64¢ | 66¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? | No | 62¢ | 98¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Tisza win at least 130 seats? | No | 69¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | loss |
| Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | No | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 63¢ | 84¢ | +$30 | win |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 63¢ | 84¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 25¢ | 1¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+? | No | 51¢ | 1¢ | $-32 | loss |
Esports 64% $-65
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In | Rune Eaters | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Hashiras (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In | Bebop | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Hashiras (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C | Hashiras | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner | FUT Esports | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs | Astralis | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner | 3DMAX | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner | TheMongolz | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-65 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca - Map 2 Winner | 3DMAX | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | Legacy | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | Voca | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-135 | loss |
Sports 58% $-1,833
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 22¢ | 23¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 87¢ | 86¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Laura Siegemund vs Viktoriya Tomova | Laura Siegemund | 41¢ | 100¢ | +$105 | win |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Laura Siegemund vs Viktoriya Tomova | Viktoriya Tomova | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-178 | loss |
| Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners | Seattle Mariners | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | win |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals | Chicago White Sox | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | win |
| Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Texas Rangers | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Arizona Diamondbacks | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix, Qualification: Alycia Parks vs Viktoriya Tomova | Alycia Parks | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaur | Valentin Vacherot | 41.7¢ | 100¢ | +$290 | $208 | 17/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jelena Ostapenko vs Gabriela Ruse | Gabriela Ruse | 41.6¢ | 100¢ | +$109 | $78 | 17/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anastasia Potapova vs Lilli Tagger | Anastasia Potapova | 54.3¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | $73 | 17/04/2026 |
| Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres | San Diego Padres | 63.4¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $104 | 17/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirstea | Mirra Andreeva | 72.9¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $145 | 17/04/2026 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs | Pittsburgh Pirates | 61.8¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $80 | 17/04/2026 |
| Mexico City: Stefano Napolitano vs Tristan Schoolkate | Stefano Napolitano | 57.2¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $61 | 17/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Donna Vekic vs Karolina Pliskova | Donna Vekic | 65.1¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $84 | 17/04/2026 |
| Madrid: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Polina Kudermetova | Polina Kudermetova | 59.9¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $65 | 17/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverev | Alexander Zverev | 65.3¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $69 | 17/04/2026 |
| Madrid: Elina Avanesyan vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmo | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo | 65.5¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Wuning: Clement Chidekh vs Harry Wendelken | Harry Wendelken | 54.5¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $37 | 17/04/2026 |
| Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Beibit Zhukayev | James Duckworth | 73.2¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $84 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ningbo Rockets vs. Zhejiang Lions | Zhejiang Lions | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $28 | 17/04/2026 |
| Sarasota: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Stefan Dostanic | Stefan Dostanic | 41.4¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $21 | 17/04/2026 |
| Athletics vs. New York Mets | Athletics | 60.8¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Arizona Diamondbacks | 63.2¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $31 | 17/04/2026 |
| Qingdao Eagles vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards | Qingdao Eagles | 72.1¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $39 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Yes | 84.4¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $137 | 17/04/2026 |
| Campinas: Gonzalo Bueno vs Hernan Casanova | Gonzalo Bueno | 68.9¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $29 | 17/04/2026 |
| Wuning: Pavel Kotov vs Ilia Simakin | Pavel Kotov | 78.6¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $45 | 17/04/2026 |
| Monza: Stefano Travaglia vs Mattia Bellucci | Mattia Bellucci | 67.7¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |
| Wuning: Fajing Sun vs Justin Boulais | Fajing Sun | 71.5¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $27 | 17/04/2026 |
| Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Beijing Ducks | Beijing Ducks | 78.1¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $31 | 17/04/2026 |
| Campinas: Guido Justo vs Gustavo Heide | Gustavo Heide | 79.2¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |
| Athletics vs. New York Mets | New York Mets | 44.1¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Monza: Stefano Travaglia vs Mattia Bellucci | Stefano Travaglia | 34.4¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 17/04/2026 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles | Baltimore Orioles | 41.5¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Sarasota: Hugo Dellien vs Darwin Blanch | Hugo Dellien | 37.9¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |
| Wuning: Pavel Kotov vs Ilia Simakin | Ilia Simakin | 73.5¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $29 | 17/04/2026 |
| Mexico City: Stefano Napolitano vs Tristan Schoolkate | Tristan Schoolkate | 57.9¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 17/04/2026 |
| Madrid: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Polina Kudermetova | Oksana Selekhmeteva | 33.9¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 17/04/2026 |
| New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | New York Yankees | 58.7¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $37 | 17/04/2026 |
| Madrid: Elina Avanesyan vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmo | Elina Avanesyan | 35.9¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $37 | 17/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Donna Vekic vs Karolina Pliskova | Karolina Pliskova | 38.7¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | $49 | 17/04/2026 |
| Wuning: Clement Chidekh vs Harry Wendelken | Clement Chidekh | 47.5¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | $54 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Avalanche | Kraken | 33.9¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | $55 | 17/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaur | Alex de Minaur | 52.1¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | $56 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Predators | Predators | 59.5¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | $63 | 17/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverev | Joao Fonseca | 34.3¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | $64 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Flames | Kings | 57.2¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | $64 | 17/04/2026 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 70.7¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | $66 | 17/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anastasia Potapova vs Lilli Tagger | Lilli Tagger | 54.5¢ | 0¢ | $-77 | $77 | 17/04/2026 |
| Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres | Colorado Rockies | 42.9¢ | 0¢ | $-105 | $105 | 17/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirstea | Sorana Cirstea | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | $-106 | $106 | 17/04/2026 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs | Chicago Cubs | 58.2¢ | 0¢ | $-119 | $119 | 17/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jelena Ostapenko vs Gabriela Ruse | Jelena Ostapenko | 68.1¢ | 0¢ | $-121 | $121 | 17/04/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Jets | Jets | 47.7¢ | 0¢ | $-190 | $190 | 17/04/2026 |
| Blues vs. Utah | Utah | 51.8¢ | 0¢ | $-457 | $457 | 17/04/2026 |
| Mexico City: Alex Hernandez vs Juan Pablo Ficovich | Alex Hernandez | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $56 | 16/04/2026 |