Win rate
42.9%
3 W / 4 L
Total PnL
$-22
realized $-727 · unrealized $706
Portfolio
$706
volume $19,212
Predictions
10
2.1/day · avg $1,921
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 14/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Politics 50% +$6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | No | 29¢ | 28¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 18¢ | 22¢ | +$6 | win |
Other 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | Yes | 30¢ | 29¢ | $-1 | loss |
Geopolitics 50% $-22
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 13¢ | 14¢ | +$0 | — |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 34¢ | 33¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 30¢ | 34¢ | +$12 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 40¢ | $-29 | loss |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 52¢ | +$3 | win |
Recent Trades (8)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 17.9¢ | 22¢ | +$6 | $35 | 21/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | No | 50.3¢ | 52¢ | +$3 | $130 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | No | 49.6¢ | 40¢ | $-29 | $141 | 31/05/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | No | 29.0¢ | 28¢ | $-0 | $24 | 31/05/2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 33.9¢ | 33¢ | $-8 | $310 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 30.0¢ | 34¢ | +$12 | $100 | 31/12/2026 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | Yes | 30.3¢ | 29¢ | $-1 | $24 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 13.0¢ | 14¢ | +$0 | $30 | 31/12/2026 |