degens9

Sports 62% +$8,320 $307,218 vol · 1143 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	No	85¢	11¢	$-289	loss
Will Josh Giddey win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?	No	90¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Mark Daignault win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-74	loss
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-43	loss
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?	No	83¢	2¢	$-18	loss
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	No	37¢	96¢	$-18	loss
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?	Yes	59¢	5¢	$-3	loss
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	Yes	63¢	22¢	$-78	loss
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	52¢	0¢	$-188	loss
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	83¢	1¢	+$72	win

Tech 68% +$3,151 $182,113 vol · 1051 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Amazon reach $232 in March?	No	65¢	100¢	+$78	win
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $240 end of March?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$58	win
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 end of March?	No	25¢	0¢	$-33	loss
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $180-$185 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?	No	80¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Will Meta (META) close at $630-$640 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?	No	87¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $420-$430 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?	No	84¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on March 9?	No	53¢	100¢	+$63	win
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $255 on March 9?	No	38¢	0¢	$-32	loss
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $220 on March 9?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-9	loss
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $220 on March 9?	No	81¢	100¢	$-16	loss

Crypto 67% +$2,080 $87,044 vol · 180 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the AAVE token alignment proposal pass?	No	36¢	100¢	+$335	win
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	88¢	51¢	+$2	win
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?	No	76¢	100¢	+$72	win
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	No	85¢	0¢	+$20	win
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	51¢	100¢	+$407	win
Will Rabby launch a token in 2025?	No	67¢	100¢	+$31	win
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?	No	85¢	100¢	$-12	loss
US national Solana reserve in 2025?	No	65¢	100¢	+$12	win
US national XRP reserve in 2025?	No	65¢	100¢	+$10	win
Tether insolvent in 2025?	No	90¢	100¢	+$8	win

Finance 56% +$481 $11,294 vol · 72 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	82¢	70¢	+$1	win
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?	No	89¢	6¢	$-205	loss
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	81¢	92¢	+$10	win
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 6?	Down	43¢	100¢	+$123	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 20?	Down	16¢	0¢	+$172	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 20?	Up	65¢	100¢	+$32	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?	Down	46¢	100¢	+$24	win
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?	No	29¢	0¢	+$4	win
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% in 2025?	Yes	90¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?	No	60¢	0¢	$-19	loss

Economy 56% +$178 $8,692 vol · 28 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US recession in 2025?	No	69¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Pope Leo visit the Philippines first?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Bryan Johnson say "Mushroom" 10+ times while tripping balls?	No	9¢	0¢	$-59	loss
Will Bryan Johnson say "Erection" while tripping balls?	Yes	71¢	0¢	$-71	loss
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State	Ole Miss	72¢	100¢	+$150	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	No	57¢	0¢	+$0	—
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$185	win
Will Powell say "Step/Stepping Down" during July Press Conference?	No	73¢	100¢	+$53	win
June jobs report prints negative?	No	91¢	100¢	+$25	win
Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	No	90¢	0¢	$-44	loss

Esports 100% +$2 $109 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?	No	49¢	0¢	+$2	win

Weather 53% $-57 $2,417 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will less than 12 named storms occur in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?	No	92¢	100¢	$-4	loss
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?	No	32¢	0¢	+$0	—
Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?	No	87¢	100¢	+$8	win
Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?	Yes	31¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.14ºC in June 2025?	No	89¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?	No	75¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in May 2025?	No	82¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 73–74°F on May 19?	No	68¢	100¢	$-8	loss
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 71–72°F on May 19?	Yes	37¢	0¢	$-17	loss
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on March 19?	No	86¢	0¢	$-9	loss

Mentions 56% $-85 $4,305 vol · 24 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon tweet 200–214 times May 30–June 6?	No	87¢	100¢	+$-0	—
Will Elon tweet 140–154 times May 30–June 6?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-9	loss
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 18–25?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Will Elon tweet 100–124 times April 18–25?	No	96¢	100¢	$-46	loss
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 11–18?	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$43	win
Will "Brian" or "Thompson" be in the manifesto?	No	91¢	100¢	$-4	loss
Will Hailey Welch tweet again by December 20?	Yes	51¢	100¢	$-104	loss

Geopolitics 70% $-102 $14,029 vol · 56 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Iran strike on Qatar by January 31, 2026?	No	85¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?	No	67¢	100¢	+$3	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?	No	46¢	100¢	+$2	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	Yes	21¢	0¢	+$2	win
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?	No	80¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?	Yes	37¢	0¢	+$2	win
Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Israel military action against Iran before 2026?	No	38¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will Karoline Leavitt say Taiwan in her next press briefing?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-77	loss
Will Russia rejoin the G7 in 2025?	No	86¢	100¢	+$0	—

Culture 68% $-104 $27,768 vol · 187 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	73¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?	No	42¢	0¢	$-210	loss
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	Yes	66¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	Yes	49¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	No	72¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Taylor Swift mention Travis Kelce on her new album?	No	83¢	100¢	$-4	loss
Will Severance win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?	No	29¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Only Murders in the Building win the Emmy for Outstanding Comedy Series?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Jean Smart win the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will The Pitt win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?	Yes	22¢	100¢	+$4	win

Elections 66% $-2,476 $28,218 vol · 72 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	Yes	57¢	0¢	+$411	win
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	No	14¢	0¢	+$59	win
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	Yes	80¢	0¢	+$12	win
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	55¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Another Canada election called in 2025?	No	90¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?	No	70¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?	No	65¢	100¢	$-54	loss
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	No	27¢	0¢	$-122	loss
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	Yes	66¢	100¢	$-175	loss
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?	No	53¢	100¢	+$-0	—

Other 60% $-10,759 $409,837 vol · 1249 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	76¢	82¢	$-2	loss
Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?	Yes	38¢	18¢	$-16	loss
Will Kenny Dillingham be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?	Yes	30¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	79¢	100¢	+$180	win
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	92¢	98¢	+$39	win
Will Metz be relegated from Ligue 1 after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	43¢	94¢	+$4	win
Will Sevilla be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?	No	82¢	56¢	+$0	—
Will Metz be relegated from Ligue 1 after the 2025–26 season?	No	56¢	6¢	$-5	loss
Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	No	16¢	4¢	$-23	loss
Will Hamburger SV be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	No	62¢	97¢	$-7	loss

Politics 65% $-11,556 $353,396 vol · 996 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	74¢	92¢	$-69	loss
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	87¢	96¢	+$25	win
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	35¢	40¢	+$113	win
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	40¢	40¢	+$4	win
Will Trump ban institutional investor single-family home purchases?	No	60¢	0¢	$-177	loss
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	No	60¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?	No	82¢	100¢	+$55	win
Will Trump say "Invest" or "Investment" during oil executive meetings on Friday?	Yes	73¢	100¢	+$136	win
Will Trump say "Biden" during oil executive meetings on Friday?	No	52¢	0¢	$-81	loss
Will Trump Media buy Ethereum in 2025?	No	72¢	100¢	+$4	win