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0x882b45bbA3AFA6C269B4c226Aecd86D06e81a746-1772118897458
0x882b45bba3afa6c269b4c226aecd86d06e81a746 · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
53.0%
53 W / 47 L
Total PnL
$1,230
realized $98 · unrealized $1,132
Portfolio
$1,132
volume $452,477
Predictions
108
4.3/day · avg $4,190
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 26/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 53% +$1,151
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 67¢ | 76¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 21¢ | 100¢ | +$5,683 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 64¢ | 24¢ | +$2 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | No | 89¢ | 88¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 39¢ | 18¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 60¢ | 100¢ | $-54 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | No | 44¢ | 33¢ | $-712 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 38¢ | 56¢ | $-4 | loss |
Other 100% +$58
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 83¢ | 88¢ | +$21 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 50¢ | 60¢ | +$37 | win |
Politics 0% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30? | No | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 76.0¢ | 91¢ | +$78 | $8,785 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | 26.0¢ | 9¢ | $-7,440 | $5,109 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 12.2¢ | 8¢ | +$554 | $1,784 | 07/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 90.3¢ | 0¢ | +$122 | $2,089 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 48.9¢ | 92¢ | $-25 | $276 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | Yes | 70.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1,668 | $5,975 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | No | 87.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1,457 | $11,183 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15? | Yes | 74.4¢ | 100¢ | +$640 | $8,385 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 70.6¢ | 100¢ | +$538 | $1,500 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7? | No | 76.7¢ | 100¢ | +$419 | $4,345 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? | No | 63.9¢ | 0¢ | +$70 | $374 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 25, 2026? | Yes | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $233 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 22, 2026? | Yes | 90.4¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $148 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | US | 49.1¢ | 50¢ | +$8 | $1,075 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 27, 2026? | Yes | 82.4¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $103 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 22, 2026? | Yes | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $93 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 23, 2026? | Yes | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $26 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 24, 2026? | Yes | 86.3¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $62 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | No | 76.1¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $130 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 27, 2026? | Yes | 94.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $145 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 26, 2026? | Yes | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $154 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 30, 2026? | Yes | 93.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $80 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 31, 2026? | Yes | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $235 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026? | No | 69.5¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | $45 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026? | Yes | 38.4¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | $24 | 31/03/2026 |
| US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31? | Yes | 10.5¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | $26 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 31, 2026? | No | 34.8¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | $38 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March? | Yes | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | $-48 | $987 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | $-49 | $402 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | Israel | 55.8¢ | 50¢ | $-57 | $600 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran strike seven countries in March? | Yes | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $-71 | $31 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 20, 2026? | No | 14.2¢ | 0¢ | $-105 | $136 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran strike eight countries in March? | Yes | 5.3¢ | 0¢ | $-114 | $152 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-174 | $115 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? | Yes | 62.1¢ | 100¢ | $-203 | $505 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026? | Yes | 29.8¢ | 0¢ | $-128 | $137 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $196 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026? | Yes | 86.6¢ | 100¢ | +$226 | $1,455 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026? | Yes | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $3,950 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026? | Yes | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $992 | 10/03/2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 100¢ | +$142 | $499 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 2? | Yes | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $950 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will France strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | 23.0¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $69 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | $1,500 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will UK strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | 26.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $78 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Germany strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | 18.9¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $57 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 3? | Yes | 87.9¢ | 100¢ | $-558 | $8,801 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility? | No | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $28 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026? | No | 81.6¢ | 100¢ | +$91 | $1,825 | 21/04/2026 |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | No | 63.0¢ | 94¢ | $-1 | $275 | 21/04/2026 |