Win rate
46.5%
59 W / 68 L
Total PnL
$-2,607
realized $-3,488 · unrealized $881
Portfolio
$881
volume $126,516
Predictions
325
3.9/day · avg $389
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 25/04/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Elections 50% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Yes | 24¢ | 100¢ | +$161 | win |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | loss |
| Will Trump launch a coin before the election? | No | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-109 | loss |
Economy 50% $-29
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$1 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
Other 41% $-124
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 39¢ | 87¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? | No | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-89 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? | Yes | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$107 | win |
| Crude Oil all time high by April 30? | Yes | 9¢ | 2¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 71¢ | 99¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-149 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Doge ETF approved by July 31? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Ripple above $3.20 on January 24? | Yes | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | loss |
Geopolitics 0% $-250
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | 39¢ | 10¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | No | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-140 | loss |
Politics 0% $-260
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
| MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration? | No | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
Crypto 50% $-2,104
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April? | No | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-265 | loss |
| Will Solana reach $100 in April? | No | 74¢ | 68¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Yes | 27¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March? | Yes | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Will Solana reach $210 in August? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-154 | loss |
| Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August? | No | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-177 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31? | Yes | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Bitcoin up in Q1 2025? | Up | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31? | Yes | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
| Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 11-17? | Yes | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | 39.5¢ | 10¢ | $-33 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 71.0¢ | 99¢ | +$20 | $99 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Yes | 27.2¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $25 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March? | Yes | 26.7¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $40 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March? | Yes | 59.1¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | No | 71.3¢ | 100¢ | +$189 | $719 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | Yes | 9.2¢ | 0¢ | +$116 | $61 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $78 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | 20.8¢ | 0¢ | $-149 | $235 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Solana reach $210 in August? | No | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-154 | $154 | 01/09/2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August? | No | 11.6¢ | 0¢ | $-177 | $177 | 01/09/2025 |
| Doge ETF approved by July 31? | Yes | 23.4¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 31/07/2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? | Yes | 13.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 29/04/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by March 31? | Yes | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $80 | 31/03/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31? | Yes | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | $100 | 31/03/2025 |
| Bitcoin up in Q1 2025? | Up | 72.0¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $200 | 31/03/2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31? | Yes | 17.3¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | $200 | 31/03/2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31? | Yes | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | $200 | 31/03/2025 |
| Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 11-17? | Yes | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 17/02/2025 |
| Solana above $190 on February 14? | No | 33.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 14/02/2025 |
| Ethereum above $2,700 on February 14? | No | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | $150 | 14/02/2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 4-10? | No | 11.5¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | $150 | 10/02/2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $3000 by Friday? | No | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $100 | 07/02/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first? | 100k | 59.4¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | $100 | 31/01/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first? | 90k | 4.6¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 31/01/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 31/01/2025 |
| Solana above $215 on January 24? | No | 7.0¢ | 0¢ | +$142 | $100 | 24/01/2025 |
| Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24? | Yes | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$117 | $100 | 24/01/2025 |
| Ripple above $3.20 on January 24? | Yes | 45.6¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $150 | 24/01/2025 |
| Ethereum above $3,400 on January 24? | Yes | 25.7¢ | 0¢ | $-250 | $250 | 24/01/2025 |
| Total crypto market cap over $4 trillion on Jan 20? | No | 64.8¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $100 | 20/01/2025 |
| Total crypto market cap over $4 trillion on Jan 20? | Yes | 12.7¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | $157 | 20/01/2025 |
| MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration? | No | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 19/01/2025 |
| Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17? | Yes | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$113 | $100 | 17/01/2025 |
| Solana above $190 on January 17? | Yes | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $46 | 17/01/2025 |
| Ethereum above $3,300 on January 17? | Yes | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $46 | 17/01/2025 |
| Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10? | No | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | $100 | 10/01/2025 |
| Ethereum above $3,500 on January 10? | Yes | 66.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $37 | 10/01/2025 |
| Solana above $215 on January 10? | Yes | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 10/01/2025 |
| Ethereum above $3,300 on January 3? | No | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $50 | 03/01/2025 |
| Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3? | No | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 03/01/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in December? | Yes | 35.0¢ | 100¢ | +$392 | $392 | 31/12/2024 |
| Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first? | $4000 | 42.6¢ | 100¢ | +$271 | $201 | 31/12/2024 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4,200.00 in December? | No | 31.3¢ | 100¢ | +$127 | $100 | 31/12/2024 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4,300.00 in December? | No | 42.0¢ | 100¢ | +$90 | $100 | 31/12/2024 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 in December? | No | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | $100 | 31/12/2024 |
| No Ethereum all time high in 2024? | Yes | 81.1¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $101 | 31/12/2024 |
| Will ETH or SOL reach all-time high first? | SOL | 86.2¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $100 | 31/12/2024 |
| Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 in December? | No | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $100 | 31/12/2024 |
| Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024? | No | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $101 | 31/12/2024 |