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0x87882d14Cf985C7330389734Ea204aAABc58d4b6-1772154986066
0x87882d14cf985c7330389734ea204aaabc58d4b6 · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
81.1%
30 W / 7 L
Total PnL
$287
realized $-927 · unrealized $1,214
Portfolio
$1,214
volume $61,931
Predictions
593
19.9/day · avg $104
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 26/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 74% +$253
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 80¢ | 86¢ | +$0 | win |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | No | 76¢ | 82¢ | +$6 | win |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | No | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 56¢ | 74¢ | +$22 | win |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | 54¢ | 76¢ | +$45 | win |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | No | 85¢ | 85¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 37¢ | 100¢ | +$165 | win |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Other 100% +$142
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 43¢ | 50¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 58¢ | 64¢ | +$3 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 62¢ | 81¢ | +$19 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 27¢ | 50¢ | +$97 | win |
| Will 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Politics 100% +$32
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | Yes | 30¢ | 46¢ | +$11 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | Yes | 17¢ | 38¢ | +$12 | win |
Crypto 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | Down | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Recent Trades (38)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran meeting by April 12, 2026? | Yes | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $80 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12? | Yes | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $68 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $92 | 12/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026? | Yes | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $33 | 11/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 93.5¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $95 | 10/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | Yes | 24.1¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | Down | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $100 | 30/03/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 41.0¢ | 7¢ | $-68 | $82 | 18/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | Yes | 17.5¢ | 38¢ | +$12 | $53 | 21/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 19.1¢ | 44¢ | +$6 | $50 | 22/04/2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 40.1¢ | 64¢ | +$79 | $134 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 27.0¢ | 50¢ | +$97 | $143 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | Yes | 48.0¢ | 55¢ | +$17 | $144 | 30/04/2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | Yes | 28.7¢ | 63¢ | +$91 | $79 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 41.0¢ | 60¢ | +$26 | $253 | 30/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Yes | 49.0¢ | 59¢ | +$10 | $49 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 37.3¢ | 100¢ | +$165 | $99 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026? | Yes | 69.4¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $40 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | Yes | 30.4¢ | 46¢ | +$11 | $43 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 84.8¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $102 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026? | Yes | 86.4¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $25 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026? | Yes | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $110 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026? | Yes | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | $28 | 30/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | $100 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 62.0¢ | 81¢ | +$19 | $62 | 31/05/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 57.0¢ | 73¢ | +$3 | $61 | 31/05/2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | 54.0¢ | 76¢ | +$45 | $108 | 30/06/2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 56.0¢ | 74¢ | +$22 | $67 | 30/06/2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? | No | 90.2¢ | 90¢ | $-0 | $60 | 30/06/2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | No | 85.0¢ | 85¢ | +$0 | $30 | 30/06/2026 |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | No | 76.0¢ | 82¢ | +$6 | $38 | 30/06/2026 |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026? | No | 3.5¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | $29 | 30/06/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | 2.8¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $24 | 30/06/2026 |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by June 30, 2026? | No | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $26 | 30/06/2026 |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | No | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | $57 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 43.4¢ | 50¢ | +$5 | $61 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 58.0¢ | 64¢ | +$3 | $31 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 80.0¢ | 86¢ | +$0 | $32 | 31/12/2026 |