Win rate
46.7%
7 W / 8 L
Total PnL
$-212
realized $-2,752 · unrealized $2,540
Portfolio
$2,540
volume $4,086
Predictions
19
0.5/day · avg $215
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 20/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Politics 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President by April 30? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
Economy 0% $-25
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 71¢ | 66¢ | $-25 | loss |
Other 25% $-32
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will any Premier League club reach 90 points? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season? | Yes | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the People's Bank of China not change rates in April? | Yes | 96¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04? | Yes | 71¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
Geopolitics 56% $-147
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | No | 87¢ | 84¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 55¢ | 26¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | No | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$2 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 91¢ | 0¢ | $-148 | loss |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (15)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 90.6¢ | 0¢ | $-148 | $185 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04? | Yes | 71.1¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $155 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 71.2¢ | 66¢ | $-25 | $336 | 31/01/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $291 | 01/01/1970 |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | No | 98.5¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $131 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the People's Bank of China not change rates in April? | Yes | 96.0¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | $96 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season? | Yes | 98.4¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | $201 | 28/05/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 96.1¢ | 97¢ | +$4 | $387 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | No | 95.0¢ | 97¢ | +$2 | $104 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will any Premier League club reach 90 points? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $167 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | No | 94.0¢ | 94¢ | $-1 | $103 | 30/09/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 89.8¢ | 91¢ | +$17 | $1,060 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 55.0¢ | 26¢ | $-29 | $55 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | No | 86.6¢ | 84¢ | $-2 | $90 | 30/06/2027 |