Win rate
58.5%
24 W / 17 L
Total PnL
$707
realized $33 · unrealized $674
Portfolio
$674
volume $34,185
Predictions
562
2.0/day · avg $61
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 29/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Mentions 54% +$98
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | Yes | 15¢ | 18¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 90¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 24¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
Geopolitics 83% +$55
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15? | No | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Sports 100% +$15
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Bills | Eagles | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
Crypto 75% $-19
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | Up | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | Up | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET | Up | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | Down | 93¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
Politics 0% $-21
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | No | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
Other 0% $-36
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17? | No | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
Recent Trades (41)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 25.2¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | $220 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 19.0¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $41 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 19.7¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $33 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 12.2¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $22 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 24.0¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | $25 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $40 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 89.9¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $100 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 24.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 76.8¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $80 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 21.0¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | $22 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | $21 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $84 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026? | Yes | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $40 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 86.2¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $50 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026? | No | 85.4¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $32 | 23/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | Up | 90.2¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $30 | 03/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | Up | 92.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $21 | 03/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET | Up | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 03/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | Yes | 89.4¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $56 | 03/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | Down | 93.3¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 03/03/2026 |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17? | No | 6.6¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $36 | 31/12/2025 |
| Eagles vs. Bills | Eagles | 60.1¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $23 | 28/12/2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025? | Yes | 62.4¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $44 | 16/12/2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9? | No | 54.4¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $52 | 21/11/2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11? | No | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $40 | 21/11/2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10? | No | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $40 | 21/11/2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12? | No | 74.6¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $50 | 21/11/2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15? | No | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $32 | 21/11/2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13? | No | 73.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 21/11/2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | No | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | Yes | 23.3¢ | 26¢ | +$11 | $84 | 21/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | Yes | 23.6¢ | 30¢ | +$23 | $82 | 21/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | No | 91.0¢ | 90¢ | $-1 | $240 | 21/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | Yes | 14.8¢ | 18¢ | +$8 | $34 | 21/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | Yes | 15.9¢ | 18¢ | +$3 | $27 | 24/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | Yes | 16.0¢ | 12¢ | $-6 | $27 | 24/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 20¢ | +$5 | $28 | 24/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 14¢ | $-1 | $23 | 24/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 14¢ | $-1 | $30 | 28/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | Yes | 18.0¢ | 18¢ | $-1 | $38 | 28/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | Yes | 18.0¢ | 18¢ | $-1 | $38 | 28/04/2026 |