Win rate
42.2%
95 W / 130 L
Total PnL
$392
realized $-2,574 · unrealized $2,966
Portfolio
$2,966
volume $340,523
Predictions
283
3.6/day · avg $1,203
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 22/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 44% +$3,997
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 77¢ | 31¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 43¢ | 16¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026? | Yes | 27¢ | 100¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | Yes | 54¢ | 96¢ | +$84 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 33¢ | 6¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 68¢ | 100¢ | $-53 | loss |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $-83 | loss |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | loss |
Sports 55% $-9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Trail Blazers | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$414 | win |
| Magic vs. 76ers | 76ers | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$328 | win |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) | Clippers | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-131 | loss |
| Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5 | Over | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) | Lakers | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-280 | loss |
| Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) | Toronto Blue Jays | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-119 | loss |
| Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) | Philadelphia Phillies | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-275 | loss |
| Clippers vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5 | Over | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | win |
| Lakers vs. Pistons | Lakers | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-487 | loss |
Politics 0% $-760
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 9¢ | 8¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 23¢ | 6¢ | $-669 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | loss |
Other 42% $-1,182
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Space FDV above $40M one day after launch? | No | 80¢ | 74¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 79¢ | 78¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Yes | 5¢ | 2¢ | $-54 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 51¢ | 42¢ | $-243 | loss |
| Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5 | Under | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$106 | win |
| Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5) | Wuhan San Zhen FC | 78¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 48¢ | 86¢ | +$245 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5 | Under | 53.2¢ | 100¢ | +$106 | $248 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $85 | 17/04/2026 |
| Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5) | Wuhan San Zhen FC | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 48.0¢ | 86¢ | +$245 | $310 | 17/04/2026 |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5 | Under | 47.0¢ | 18¢ | $-166 | $274 | 17/04/2026 |
| US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5 | Under | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-154 | $157 | 17/04/2026 |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5 | Under | 22.0¢ | 4¢ | $-65 | $84 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 30.8¢ | 36¢ | +$15 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw? | Yes | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | $-89 | $89 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw? | Yes | 27.8¢ | 24¢ | $-6 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Spread: Toulouse FC (-1.5) | Toulouse FC | 42.7¢ | 15¢ | $-40 | $62 | 17/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Trail Blazers | 42.0¢ | 100¢ | +$414 | $300 | 15/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. 76ers | 76ers | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$328 | $341 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 22.3¢ | 100¢ | +$149 | $150 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 24.3¢ | 0¢ | +$75 | $721 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 88.3¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $1,069 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | Yes | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | $20 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | 7.0¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | $101 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) | Real Madrid CF | 9.8¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? | Yes | 6.4¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $47 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 66.0¢ | 99¢ | $-7 | $240 | 12/04/2026 |
| Clippers vs. Trail Blazers | Clippers | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-121 | $121 | 11/04/2026 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) | Clippers | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-131 | $131 | 11/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 7.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1,969 | $157 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Celtic FC win on 2026-04-05? | Yes | 41.8¢ | 100¢ | +$342 | $246 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will FC Seoul win on 2026-04-05? | Yes | 47.3¢ | 0¢ | $-260 | $260 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-05? | Yes | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-350 | $350 | 05/04/2026 |
| RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5 | Under | 69.0¢ | 0¢ | $-102 | $102 | 04/04/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5 | Over | 64.6¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $50 | 03/04/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | Lakers | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | $70 | 03/04/2026 |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) | Lakers | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-280 | $280 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-03-31? | Yes | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$213 | $250 | 01/04/2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 54.9¢ | 100¢ | +$489 | $595 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31? | Yes | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$231 | $314 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-03-31? | Yes | 60.3¢ | 100¢ | +$99 | $151 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $337 | 31/03/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | Yes | 7.0¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | $-33 | $330 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15? | Yes | 80.7¢ | 100¢ | $-108 | $572 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 9.1¢ | 0¢ | $-153 | $258 | 31/03/2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | Yes | 48.2¢ | 0¢ | $-253 | $386 | 31/03/2026 |
| Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) | Toronto Blue Jays | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-119 | $250 | 30/03/2026 |
| Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) | Philadelphia Phillies | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-275 | $275 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will Georgia win on 2026-03-29? | Yes | 57.4¢ | 100¢ | +$519 | $699 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-03-29? | Yes | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$175 | $450 | 29/03/2026 |
| Clippers vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5 | Over | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | $150 | 29/03/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Pistons | Lakers | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-487 | $487 | 23/03/2026 |
| Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 2 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid? | Yes | 13.0¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | $51 | 22/03/2026 |
| Exact Score: Everton FC 1 - 2 Chelsea FC? | Yes | 12.0¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | $68 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21? | Yes | 42.0¢ | 0¢ | $-133 | $133 | 21/03/2026 |