Capillatus

Weather 73% +$2,574 $61,550 vol · 380 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 18?	Yes	75¢	73¢	$-11	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17?	Yes	67¢	100¢	+$812	win
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on April 7?	No	96¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on April 3?	No	97¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on March 30?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$92	win
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 5°C on March 30?	No	81¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on March 30?	No	90¢	100¢	+$33	win
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on March 30?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$26	win
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on March 30?	Yes	70¢	0¢	$-74	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on March 29?	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$173	win

Elections 100% +$101 $932 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Hungarian Two-Tailed Dog Party (Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt) (MKKP) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	97¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	73¢	100¢	+$61	win
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	74¢	99¢	+$25	win

Finance 67% +$95 $681 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 11?	Up	78¢	0¢	$-50	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 10?	Down	44¢	100¢	+$63	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 10?	Up	76¢	100¢	+$27	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9?	Up	50¢	0¢	$-32	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6?	Up	93¢	100¢	+$4	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 5?	Down	90¢	100¢	+$3	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 30?	Down	78¢	100¢	+$74	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 28?	Up	88¢	100¢	+$7	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 28?	Up	74¢	0¢	$-0	loss

Sports 100% +$18 $582 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	75¢	78¢	+$18	win

Tech 100% +$12 $75 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 end of January?	No	87¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $245 on January 27?	No	80¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Meta (META) close above $670 on January 27?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$4	win

Other 50% $-8 $417 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-41	loss
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	67¢	99¢	+$36	win
Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of January 2026?	No	84¢	100¢	+$35	win

Crypto 56% $-202 $900 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	80¢	100¢	+$6	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	91¢	100¢	+$3	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	94¢	100¢	+$2	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	97¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	36¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 9AM ET	Up	33¢	0¢	$-85	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	49¢	0¢	$-141	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	89¢	100¢	+$15	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	91¢	100¢	+$4	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	48¢	100¢	+$22	win