Win rate
36.0%
9 W / 16 L
Total PnL
$-380
realized $-5,561 · unrealized $5,181
Portfolio
$5,181
volume $252,229
Predictions
39
1.3/day · avg $6,467
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 20/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Politics 100% +$86
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | win |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | No | 69¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | win |
Tech 100% +$10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
Other 0% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 93¢ | 93¢ | $-2 | loss |
Elections 33% $-26
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 9¢ | 12¢ | +$3 | win |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 48¢ | 34¢ | $-28 | loss |
Geopolitics 60% $-129
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | No | 50¢ | 70¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 13¢ | 9¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 48¢ | 30¢ | $-102 | loss |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 3¢ | +$2 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Sports 15% $-367
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 17¢ | +$6 | win |
Recent Trades (26)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Yes | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $227 | 31/01/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | No | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $68 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 6.2¢ | 3¢ | +$2 | $40 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 1¢ | $-169 | $1,095 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0.8¢ | 1¢ | $-115 | $790 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1.2¢ | 1¢ | $-12 | $100 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 3¢ | $-13 | $260 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1.5¢ | 1¢ | $-23 | $99 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1.9¢ | 2¢ | $-8 | $99 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1.9¢ | 2¢ | $-13 | $99 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5.7¢ | 5¢ | $-21 | $220 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11.4¢ | 11¢ | $-8 | $200 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8.8¢ | 9¢ | $-3 | $120 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9.2¢ | 9¢ | $-4 | $100 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13.0¢ | 16¢ | +$17 | $100 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16.0¢ | 17¢ | +$6 | $100 | 20/07/2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 48.0¢ | 34¢ | $-28 | $100 | 03/11/2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 93.3¢ | 93¢ | $-2 | $2,087 | 31/12/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 48.4¢ | 30¢ | $-102 | $260 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 70.2¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | $204 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | No | 69.0¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | $242 | 31/12/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 70¢ | +$3 | $80 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 88.0¢ | 91¢ | +$0 | $304 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 13.0¢ | 9¢ | $-34 | $440 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 8.0¢ | 8¢ | $-1 | $20 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 8.9¢ | 12¢ | +$3 | $120 | 07/11/2028 |