8cashcows

Geopolitics 20% +$2,260 $2,763 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	5¢	1¢	$-67	loss
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-100	loss
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5	Over	24¢	0¢	$-250	loss
RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5	Over	44¢	0¢	$-336	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	1¢	0¢	$-25	loss
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?	Yes	27¢	0¢	$-7	loss
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-6	loss
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-10	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-37	loss

Economy 0% $-62 $126 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	1¢	1¢	$-36	loss
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-26	loss

Sports 0% $-71 $71 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Boxing: Conor Benn vs. Regis Prograis	Prograis	10¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov	Makhmudov	17¢	0¢	$-46	loss

Politics 29% $-758 $1,080 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-266	loss
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 8, 2026?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-120	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?	Yes	2¢	0¢	+$12	win
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-175	loss

Crypto 10% $-6,262 $10,567 vol · 103 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 19?	No	3¢	0¢	$-46	loss
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 18?	No	2¢	0¢	$-54	loss
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	26¢	0¢	$-70	loss
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	15¢	0¢	$-111	loss
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	28¢	0¢	$-120	loss
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	38¢	0¢	$-281	loss
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	12¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on April 13?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	4¢	0¢	$-60	loss
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	30¢	0¢	$-100	loss

Other 19% $-12,684 $17,214 vol · 57 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	28¢	28¢	$-3	loss
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?	Yes	53¢	52¢	$-2	loss
Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	60¢	0¢	$-800	loss
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-1,269	loss
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)	Manchester United FC	5¢	0¢	$-168	loss
Will SC Recife win on 2026-04-18?	Yes	26¢	21¢	$-20	loss
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-04-18?	Yes	45¢	44¢	$-3	loss
Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-04-18?	Yes	60¢	28¢	$-63	loss
Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)	1. FC Köln	18¢	0¢	$-250	loss
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to Score	Yes	57¢	0¢	$-580	loss