OneBadBet

Sports 59% +$2,783 $60,251 vol · 330 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-106	loss
NBA: Co-Rookie of the Year winners?	No	50¢	92¢	+$133	win
NBA: Co-Rookie of the Year winners?	Yes	50¢	8¢	$-128	loss
Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	Yes	83¢	88¢	+$17	win
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	99¢	99¢	+$14	win
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?	Yes	98¢	96¢	$-4	loss
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	Yes	21¢	94¢	+$140	win
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	12¢	12¢	$-37	loss
Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-44	loss

Other 75% +$2,599 $165,505 vol · 282 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?	No	90¢	96¢	+$9	win
Maduro guilty of all counts?	No	76¢	78¢	+$11	win
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	90¢	100¢	+$25	win
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	43¢	40¢	$-4	loss
Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	88¢	88¢	$-0	loss
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	96¢	100¢	+$41	win
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	86¢	100¢	+$34	win
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	82¢	92¢	+$26	win
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?	No	87¢	92¢	+$7	win
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	No	84¢	86¢	$-2	loss

Geopolitics 86% +$1,342 $80,347 vol · 174 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	36¢	70¢	+$4	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	35¢	100¢	+$377	win
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	46¢	70¢	+$15	win
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	91¢	94¢	$-15	loss
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	83¢	92¢	+$4	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	87¢	86¢	+$0	—
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	87¢	88¢	$-5	loss

Elections 89% +$1,030 $25,800 vol · 37 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	76¢	83¢	+$13	win
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	76¢	84¢	+$16	win
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?	Yes	99¢	99¢	+$0	win
2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 50% by March 31?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Shawn Harris win the GA-14 special election?	No	96¢	100¢	+$23	win
Will Clayton Fuller win the GA-14 special election?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	No	98¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$10	win

Crypto 68% +$884 $12,754 vol · 25 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	92¢	100¢	+$6	win
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	93¢	98¢	+$20	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?	No	98¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?	No	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Bitcoin all time high by December 31?	No	25¢	0¢	$-59	loss
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?	No	89¢	100¢	+$305	win
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?	No	94¢	100¢	+$98	win
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?	No	96¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?	No	89¢	0¢	$-178	loss
Will Gavin Newsom launch a token in September?	No	65¢	100¢	+$87	win

Economy 76% +$193 $11,897 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	98¢	99¢	+$8	win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$6	win
US recession in 2025?	No	57¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?	No	90¢	100¢	$-0	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	29¢	0¢	$-145	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	No	98¢	100¢	+$10	win
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?	No	98¢	100¢	+$10	win
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	No	98¢	100¢	+$24	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	+$9	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win

Mentions 50% +$17 $100 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon tweet 250 or more times Jan 24-31?	Yes	50¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will Elon tweet 250 or more times Jan 24-31?	No	50¢	0¢	$-11	loss

Weather 100% +$3 $97 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in September 2025?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$3	win

Finance 0% $-20 $22 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	43¢	4¢	$-20	loss

Esports 0% $-61 $61 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: NIP vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group B	NIP	68¢	0¢	$-61	loss

Tech 67% $-95 $1,368 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Meta acquire TikTok?	No	92¢	96¢	+$8	win
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	13¢	12¢	$-6	loss
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will María Corina Machado rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	No	94¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-68	loss
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$13	win
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?	No	19¢	0¢	$-53	loss

Culture 80% $-175 $12,788 vol · 40 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 16.5m?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-356	loss
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	35¢	0¢	$-192	loss
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-41	loss
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	95¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will The Voice of Hind Rajab win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	98¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?	No	99¢	100¢	+$5	win

Politics 78% $-22,426 $181,249 vol · 225 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	31¢	27¢	$-164	loss
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	50¢	73¢	+$0	—
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	91¢	79¢	$-37	loss
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	69¢	100¢	+$158	win
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	92¢	93¢	+$71	win
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	63¢	84¢	+$51	win
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	90¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win