Marillenknoedel80750

Crypto 87% +$360 $12,069 vol · 421 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	82¢	86¢	+$1	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	93¢	94¢	+$0	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	51¢	100¢	+$18	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	39¢	100¢	+$38	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	49¢	100¢	+$29	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	67¢	100¢	+$14	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	53¢	100¢	+$10	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10PM ET	Down	86¢	100¢	+$4	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	89¢	100¢	+$4	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	44¢	0¢	$-20	loss

Geopolitics 100% +$15 $22 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	Yes	53¢	100¢	+$15	win

Elections 100% +$1 $20 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	69¢	85¢	+$1	win

Sports 52% $-4 $556 vol · 22 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	25¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	Trail Blazers	50¢	0¢	$-17	loss
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)	Celtics	50¢	100¢	+$20	win
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	Hawks	50¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Kings vs. Raptors	Kings	16¢	100¢	+$105	win
Celtics vs. Heat	Celtics	64¢	100¢	+$11	win
Spread: Lakers (-16.5)	Lakers	50¢	100¢	+$20	win
Pistons vs. Thunder	Pistons	16¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)	Warriors	50¢	0¢	$-17	loss
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Politics 0% $-5 $40 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	33¢	28¢	$-4	loss
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	64¢	60¢	$-1	loss

Other 35% $-18 $480 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	89¢	60¢	$-3	loss
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga end in a draw?	No	93¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-04-10?	Yes	70¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-09?	No	91¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)	Connecticut Huskies	50¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	No	89¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-04-06?	Yes	97¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Spezia Calcio win on 2026-04-06?	No	90¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?	No	92¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?	No	80¢	0¢	$-3	loss

Weather 67% $-236 $845 vol · 36 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on March 28?	No	90¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on March 28?	Yes	32¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 27?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 27?	Yes	24¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 27?	Yes	27¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on March 26?	Yes	29¢	0¢	$-17	loss
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 26?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 26?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on March 26?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on March 25?	Yes	27¢	0¢	$-21	loss