Ondra

Mentions 77% +$64,461 $2,449,246 vol · 2049 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	Yes	2¢	2¢	+$9	win
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	No	90¢	90¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	8¢	10¢	+$39	win
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	No	94¢	93¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?	Yes	2¢	2¢	$-7	loss
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?	No	97¢	97¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?	Yes	40¢	54¢	+$20	win
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	Yes	7¢	2¢	+$240	win

Politics 64% +$223 $4,711 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1¢	1¢	+$1	win
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	2¢	2¢	+$17	win
Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2026?	Yes	9¢	4¢	$-11	loss
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	Yes	6¢	6¢	+$6	win
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	Yes	8¢	8¢	+$8	win
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	16¢	16¢	+$104	win
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	11¢	10¢	+$21	win
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	Yes	13¢	12¢	+$30	win
Trump out as President by March 31?	Yes	3¢	0¢	+$28	win
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-12	loss

Sports 50% $-3 $2,462 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$89	win

Economy 0% $-11 $29 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-11	loss

Elections 0% $-49 $245 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Another Canada election called in 2025?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-47	loss
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-2	loss

Crypto 20% $-84 $1,024 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?	No	53¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-18	loss
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?	Yes	0¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-22	loss
USDT depeg in 2025?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-24	loss

Culture 0% $-127 $2,513 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-68	loss

Other 21% $-664 $4,861 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$5	win
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	13¢	7¢	$-16	loss
GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	4¢	1¢	+$17	win
Will "The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will Zcash flip Monero by December 31?	No	0¢	0¢	+$143	win
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?	Yes	95¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?	No	4¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2025?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-3	loss
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-4	loss
SBF released from custody in 2025?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-12	loss