Win rate
57.1%
8 W / 6 L
Total PnL
$8,589
realized $-4,875 · unrealized $13,464
Portfolio
$13,464
volume $109,270
Predictions
18
0.8/day · avg $6,071
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 27/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 44% +$8,271
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 33¢ | 72¢ | +$4,220 | win |
| Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30? | Yes | 12¢ | 8¢ | $-89 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 17¢ | 30¢ | +$3,579 | win |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Yes | 17¢ | 26¢ | +$201 | win |
Geopolitics 80% +$1,346
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 10¢ | 8¢ | $-107 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 22¢ | 29¢ | +$93 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 18¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
Recent Trades (14)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 17.6¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $200 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 9.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1,100 | $112 | 07/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 22.4¢ | 29¢ | +$93 | $304 | 22/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 16.6¢ | 30¢ | +$3,579 | $4,689 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Yes | 32.1¢ | 40¢ | +$606 | $2,927 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 39.0¢ | 42¢ | +$244 | $2,634 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Yes | 16.6¢ | 26¢ | +$201 | $401 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30? | Yes | 12.0¢ | 9¢ | $-38 | $100 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30? | Yes | 13.6¢ | 20¢ | $-39 | $100 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30? | Yes | 12.5¢ | 12¢ | $-82 | $100 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30? | Yes | 16.1¢ | 7¢ | $-87 | $100 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30? | Yes | 12.4¢ | 8¢ | $-89 | $100 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 32.6¢ | 72¢ | +$4,220 | $3,882 | 31/05/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 9.5¢ | 8¢ | $-107 | $1,003 | 30/06/2026 |