Win rate
45.8%
132 W / 156 L
Total PnL
$-1,525
realized $-4,674 · unrealized $3,150
Portfolio
$3,150
volume $215,553
Predictions
1,342
13.4/day · avg $161
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 25/12/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Elections 52% +$80
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 79¢ | 78¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 65¢ | 64¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 59¢ | 56¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 43¢ | 42¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 12¢ | 10¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections? | Yes | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? | Yes | 81¢ | 76¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Yes | 89¢ | 88¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election? | Yes | 66¢ | 66¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 50% +$37
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 70¢ | 72¢ | +$0 | — |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | Yes | 79¢ | 82¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? | No | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$31 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31? | Yes | 31¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Esports 100% +$15
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) | T1 | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
Other 50% +$-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 70¢ | 66¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Based FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 30¢ | 100¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 61¢ | 42¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 57¢ | 58¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 65¢ | 60¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April? | No | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 87¢ | 70¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 50¢ | 30¢ | $-0 | loss |
Culture 0% $-4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? | No | 52¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
Tech 17% $-20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 13? | Up | 50¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | loss |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 13? | Up | 51¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 13? | Up | 51¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Geopolitics 29% $-231
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 74¢ | 82¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 27¢ | 18¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 71¢ | 74¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | Yes | 92¢ | 99¢ | $-5 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | Yes | 53¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Yes | 34¢ | 14¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 87¢ | 94¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 14¢ | 6¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 54¢ | 0¢ | +$14 | win |
Crypto 49% $-239
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Perena launch a token by June 30, 2026? | No | 67¢ | 79¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Backpack launch a token by December 31? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Tempo launch a token by March 31 2026? | Yes | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Ethereum flipped in 2026? | No | 61¢ | 58¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 61¢ | 5¢ | $-109 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 15? | Yes | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | Up | 30¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 49¢ | 0¢ | +$37 | win |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Sports 47% $-627
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 46¢ | 42¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Inter win Coppa Italia? | Yes | 73¢ | 50¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Leylah Fernandez vs Zeynep Sonmez | Leylah Fernandez | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Lakers vs. Magic | Lakers | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Kings vs. Oilers | Oilers | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Packers vs. Bears | Packers | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-206 | loss |
| Raptors vs. Celtics | Celtics | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Thunder vs. Grizzlies | Thunder | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona Open, Qualification: Sebastian Ofner vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez | Sebastian Ofner | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $429 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 52.1¢ | 52¢ | $-4 | $128 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 65.0¢ | 64¢ | $-2 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5 | Under | 75.0¢ | 71¢ | $-5 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| Mexico City: Tibo Colson vs Alex Hernandez | Tibo Colson | 64.5¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $52 | 17/04/2026 |
| Barstool After Dark: Will the crew bowl a 300? | Yes | 74.0¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $37 | 16/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $522 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 84.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $336 | 15/04/2026 |
| Sarasota: Daniil Glinka vs Strong Kirchheimer | Daniil Glinka | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $43 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | 93.3¢ | 16¢ | $-1 | $560 | 15/04/2026 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5 | Over | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $194 | 14/04/2026 |
| Sarasota: Kilian Feldbausch vs Cannon Kingsley | Kilian Feldbausch | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $147 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $55 | 13/04/2026 |
| Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 13? | Up | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 13? | Up | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | $26 | 13/04/2026 |
| Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 13? | Up | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | $26 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | +$5 | $632 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 62.7¢ | 81¢ | +$0 | $42 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $172 | 12/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 87.3¢ | 84¢ | +$1 | $175 | 07/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 95.9¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $767 | 07/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | $960 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07? | Yes | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | $-71 | $74 | 07/04/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 40.1¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $39 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March? | Yes | 84.5¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $171 | 31/03/2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 50.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $400 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,555 | 31/03/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 15.0¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | Yes | 11.5¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | $23 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 80.0¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | $40 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | 32.3¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | $57 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | No | 21.0¢ | 10¢ | $-2 | $21 | 24/03/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Magic | Lakers | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $50 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11? | Yes | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 11/03/2026 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10? | Yes | 56.9¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $30 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07? | Yes | 42.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $50 | 06/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $84 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 15? | Yes | 61.8¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $56 | 01/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | Up | 30.0¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $39 | 14/02/2026 |
| Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale? | Yes | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | +$10 | $20 | 01/02/2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 36.0¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $50 | 31/01/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | $60 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | Yes | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-84 | $84 | 31/01/2026 |
| Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashima | Medvedev | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | $254 | 18/01/2026 |
| ASB Classic, Qualification: Isaac Becroft vs Alejandro Tabilo | Becroft | 50.0¢ | 50¢ | +$0 | $20 | 16/01/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11? | Yes | 65.5¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $1,320 | 11/01/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-11? | No | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $25 | 11/01/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | Yes | 24.0¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | $203 | 11/01/2026 |
| Kings vs. Oilers | Oilers | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 11/01/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-11? | Yes | 30.2¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $998 | 11/01/2026 |