Win rate
68.0%
106 W / 50 L
Total PnL
$-90
realized $-2,149 · unrealized $2,059
Portfolio
$2,059
volume $26,038
Predictions
635
15.4/day · avg $41
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 16/02/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 100% +$90
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 80¢ | 92¢ | +$7 | win |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30? | No | 83¢ | 90¢ | +$3 | win |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 81¢ | 95¢ | +$6 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Elections 100% +$77
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$77 | win |
Other 67% +$55
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 77¢ | 66¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | No | 82¢ | 82¢ | +$0 | win |
| Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch? | No | 80¢ | 96¢ | +$10 | win |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 71¢ | 82¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026? | No | 73¢ | 44¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 75¢ | 78¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? | No | 81¢ | 84¢ | +$1 | win |
Finance 100% +$10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Sports 0% $-20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor | Tate | 86¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
Economy 50% $-28
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? | No | 66¢ | 71¢ | +$4 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | loss |
Politics 33% $-42
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? | Yes | 68¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | No | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | loss |
Tech 50% $-56
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Yes | 76¢ | 88¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Nvidia (NVDA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) hit $475 before 2026?? | No | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
Crypto 73% $-119
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | $60k | 68¢ | 26¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Pacifica launch a token by June 30 2026? | No | 78¢ | 96¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 76¢ | 78¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will CryptoPunks floor price reach 50 ETH before 2027? | No | 78¢ | 86¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? | No | 86¢ | 96¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April? | No | 81¢ | 68¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Solana reach $100 in April? | No | 85¢ | 82¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | Up | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | No | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Esports 65% $-511
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs | Vitality | 76¢ | 76¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs | Team Falcons | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-125 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: 8Sins vs playersclub (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series 1 Playoffs | playersclub | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner | Vitality | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs | MOUZ | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | FURIA | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs | Team Lynx | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | B8 | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Natus Vincere | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs | Vitality | 76.0¢ | 76¢ | $-1 | $163 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026? | Yes | 75.3¢ | 76¢ | +$0 | $105 | 19/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs | Vitality | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | $227 | 18/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs | Team Falcons | 57.7¢ | 0¢ | $-125 | $127 | 18/04/2026 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Over | 59.2¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 18/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: 8Sins vs playersclub (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series 1 Playoffs | playersclub | 75.5¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $21 | 18/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner | Vitality | 65.7¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $39 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | MOUZ | 41.9¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $63 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs | MOUZ | 36.9¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $51 | 17/04/2026 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Over | 46.4¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | FURIA | 76.2¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $120 | 16/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs | Team Lynx | 75.8¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $89 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 67.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | B8 | 70.4¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $73 | 15/04/2026 |
| Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) | Aurora Gaming | 42.1¢ | 0¢ | $-53 | $54 | 15/04/2026 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Over | 49.9¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | $52 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Natus Vincere | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | $42 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | B8 | 36.4¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Legacy | 67.2¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 15/04/2026 |
| Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5) | Spirit | 72.0¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Team Falcons | 52.2¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $48 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Natus Vincere | 77.9¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $24 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Aurora Gaming | 79.5¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $24 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | MOUZ | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $36 | 14/04/2026 |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) | Vitality | 67.0¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | $69 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winner | Vitality | 69.7¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $63 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Gentle Mates | 67.1¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 14/04/2026 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Under | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $92 | 13/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Team Falcons | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $84 | 13/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | G2 | 67.6¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $24 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | Up | 75.2¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $27 | 13/04/2026 |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5) | Vitality | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids - Map 1 Winner | Vitality | 91.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $23 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Bilibili Gaming | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $23 | 12/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs | TheMongolz | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | $164 | 11/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs | Astralis | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | $92 | 11/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs | FUT Esports | 54.7¢ | 100¢ | +$111 | $134 | 10/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs | 3DMAX | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $37 | 10/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs | EYEBALLERS | 90.5¢ | 0¢ | $-341 | $342 | 09/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs | PARIVISION | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | $42 | 09/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | PARIVISION | 87.3¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | $380 | 08/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | Legacy | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $41 | 08/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | FOKUS | 80.2¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $106 | 07/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Ground Zero (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #3 Playoffs | Ground Zero | 84.9¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $38 | 07/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | PARIVISION | 69.6¢ | 0¢ | $-77 | $77 | 07/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: NRG vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | EYEBALLERS | 86.9¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $105 | 06/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | BC.Game Esports | 76.2¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $33 | 06/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | PARIVISION | 63.0¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $47 | 06/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FOKUS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | PARIVISION | 91.6¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $159 | 05/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | FUT Esports | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $47 | 05/04/2026 |