cripes3

Crypto 98% +$4,292 $308,555 vol · 56 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	58¢	62¢	+$141	win
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	Gold	99¢	100¢	+$169	win
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?	No	94¢	94¢	+$15	win
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	97¢	98¢	+$18	win
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 30-April 5?	No	100¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Netherlands vs. Norway: O/U 2.5	Over	100¢	100¢	+$4	win
BNP Paribas Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Solana Sierra	Mirra Andreeva	100¢	100¢	+$2	win

Politics 77% +$2,441 $1,329,909 vol · 53 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	50¢	61¢	+$0	—
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	50¢	73¢	+$0	—
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	50¢	27¢	+$0	—
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50¢	39¢	+$0	—
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	97¢	100¢	+$682	win
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	97¢	100¢	$-153	loss
Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?	No	88¢	90¢	+$45	win
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	79¢	60¢	+$0	—
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	46¢	40¢	$-416	loss
Will André Carson be the Democratic nominee for IN-07?	Yes	97¢	97¢	+$1	win

Elections 78% +$1,464 $118,451 vol · 32 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	64¢	66¢	$-57	loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	95¢	74¢	$-406	loss
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?	Yes	99¢	99¢	+$2	win
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?	Yes	80¢	85¢	+$1	win
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	39¢	16¢	$-38	loss
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$686	win
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?	No	77¢	100¢	+$345	win
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	72¢	100¢	+$343	win
Will the Democratic Coalition (DK) finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Tech 100% +$1,005 $180,524 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$32	win
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$100	win
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?	Yes	73¢	100¢	+$244	win
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$44	win
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	24¢	0¢	+$96	win
GPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$40	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$17	win

Culture 100% +$302 $4,044 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	98¢	98¢	+$2	win
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$300	win
Will The Weeknd have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—

Mentions 100% +$198 $46,456 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$23	win
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$60	win
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$15	win

Weather 90% +$14 $52,001 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 16?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 23?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes	Missouri Tigers	45¢	0¢	+$0	—
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm	St. Johns Red Storm	82¢	100¢	$-9	loss
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 14?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on March 12?	No	100¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 66-67°F on February 24?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on February 21?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on February 20?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on February 16?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Finance 100% +$9 $48,580 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Hillary say "Pam" or "Bondi" during her Epstein testimony?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$3	win

Economy 60% $-734 $8,473 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US recession by end of 2026?	No	68¢	74¢	+$77	win
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-770	loss
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	96¢	92¢	$-49	loss
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$7	win

Esports 98% $-1,552 $342,506 vol · 217 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Mavericks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 116.5	Under	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Hornets vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 103.5	Over	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Bounty Hunters Esports	49¢	50¢	+$14	win
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 Winner	ShindeN	49¢	50¢	+$10	win
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Galorys (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Imperial	54¢	50¢	$-20	loss
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Yawara Esports	49¢	50¢	+$2	win
Counter-Strike: TDK vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winner	TDK	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs ex-Flame Sharks - Map 1 Winner	Sangal	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Game Handicap: FUR (-2.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+2.5)	FURIA Esports	100¢	100¢	+$5	win
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs TDK - Map 2 Winner	TDK	100¢	100¢	+$1	win

Sports 93% $-6,604 $494,674 vol · 185 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	91¢	91¢	+$0	—
76ers vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5	Over	50¢	0¢	+$6	win
Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	41¢	100¢	+$0	—
Clippers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5	Under	48¢	0¢	$-105	loss
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)	Kings	49¢	0¢	$-38	loss
Pacers vs. Bulls	Pacers	100¢	100¢	+$10	win
Celtics vs. Heat: 1H Moneyline	Celtics	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5	Under	51¢	0¢	$-405	loss
Celtics vs. Hornets	Celtics	100¢	100¢	+$10	win
Kings vs. Nets	Nets	100¢	100¢	+$1	win

Other 92% $-38,888 $4,507,775 vol · 942 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Yellow FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	95¢	98¢	+$24	win
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?	No	77¢	94¢	+$22	win
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?	Yes	22¢	6¢	+$0	—
Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Moonbirds FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$13	win
Owlto FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$10	win
Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$960	win

Geopolitics 80% $-60,773 $3,442,603 vol · 186 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	21¢	18¢	+$0	—
Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	98¢	100¢	+$602	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	95¢	100¢	+$1,721	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	99¢	100¢	+$706	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	100¢	100¢	+$542	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	34¢	0¢	$-4,323	loss
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	90¢	91¢	+$120	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	100¢	100¢	+$115	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	100¢	100¢	+$112	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	71¢	100¢	+$78	win