Bertrame1314

Weather 76% +$147 $4,809 vol · 54 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on April 18?	Yes	15¢	13¢	$-5	loss
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 17?	Yes	28¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 17?	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on April 17?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 15?	No	62¢	100¢	+$53	win
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 15?	Yes	66¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 14?	Yes	46¢	100¢	+$27	win
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 14?	No	89¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C or below on April 3?	Yes	36¢	0¢	$-99	loss
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on March 29?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$-24	loss

Mentions 100% +$46 $478 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?	No	94¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?	No	95¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$22	win

Crypto 100% +$24 $300 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?	No	90¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 December 8-14?	No	94¢	100¢	+$13	win

Elections 100% +$13 $200 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?	No	94¢	100¢	+$13	win

Geopolitics 50% $-20 $200 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	58¢	100¢	$-33	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	No	89¢	100¢	+$12	win

Tech 0% $-110 $110 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	40¢	0¢	$-110	loss

Other 50% $-224 $600 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	85¢	19¢	$-82	loss
Will Hyperliquid hit $34 in January?	No	92¢	0¢	$-200	loss
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?	No	78¢	100¢	+$28	win
US strike on Syria by December 31?	No	87¢	100¢	+$30	win

Politics 67% $-281 $500 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	89¢	0¢	$-300	loss
Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?	No	90¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	93¢	100¢	+$8	win