Win rate
57.6%
151 W / 111 L
Total PnL
$3,849
realized $2,278 · unrealized $1,571
Portfolio
$1,571
volume $1,527,628
Predictions
565
9.5/day · avg $2,704
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 02/11/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 56% +$5,457
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? | No | 67¢ | 90¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026? | No | 55¢ | 21¢ | $-1 | loss |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 65¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026? | No | 47¢ | 67¢ | +$1 | win |
| Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player? | No | 59¢ | 92¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 10¢ | 7¢ | $-64 | loss |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? | No | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027? | No | 61¢ | 24¢ | $-9 | loss |
Crypto 63% +$612
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | No | 26¢ | 42¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in April 2026? | Yes | 48¢ | 52¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in April 2026? | No | 57¢ | 57¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in March 2026? | Yes | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in March 2026? | No | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-108 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February? | No | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Aster be the top performing crypto in February? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | No | 15¢ | 36¢ | +$66 | win |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January? | No | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in February 2026? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Finance 64% +$433
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stripe IPO before 2027? | Yes | 15¢ | 12¢ | $-180 | loss |
| Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? | No | 86¢ | 82¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-201 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17? | Down | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | No | 14¢ | 26¢ | +$5 | win |
Sports 57% +$277
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eileen Gu (CHN) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | win |
| Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 17¢ | 0¢ | +$117 | win |
| Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | win |
| Will Germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 3¢ | 0¢ | +$38 | win |
| Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 53¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 28¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will the United States win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
Politics 50% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | Yes | 10¢ | 4¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | No | 77¢ | 96¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | No | 23¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | Yes | 74¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
Elections 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Esports 50% $-6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX (BO3) | REKONIX | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX (BO3) | Execration | 76¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Game Master (BO3) | Vici Gaming | 68¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win (BO3) | Virtus.pro | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
Geopolitics 67% $-10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 27¢ | 55¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will Russia join the Board of Peace? | No | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026? | No | 7¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Mentions 50% $-167
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025? | Yes | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-171 | loss |
Tech 57% $-2,767
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 10¢ | 8¢ | +$11 | win |
| Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | Yes | 19¢ | 22¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Amazon have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Amazon have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$35 | win |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31? | No | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 28? | No | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-857 | loss |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6? | No | 7¢ | 0¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will UpScrolled be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 30? | Yes | 39¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 23? | No | 27¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in March 2026? | Yes | 73.5¢ | 100¢ | +$434 | $2,607 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | No | 38.5¢ | 100¢ | +$150 | $164 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in March 2026? | Yes | 78.9¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $421 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | 41.4¢ | 0¢ | +$29 | $2,101 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March? | Yes | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | $121 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March? | No | 4.2¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | $591 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31? | Yes | 36.0¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | $25 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $56 on the final trading day of March 2026? | Yes | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $689 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in March 2026? | Yes | 70.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $78 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March? | No | 22.1¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $44 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 70.5¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $119 | 31/03/2026 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31? | No | 19.1¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $35 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $52 on the final trading day of March 2026? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | $30 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March? | No | 71.7¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | $75 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March? | Yes | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | $92 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in March 2026? | No | 35.1¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | $55 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March? | Yes | 53.2¢ | 100¢ | $-13 | $213 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in March 2026? | No | 60.8¢ | 0¢ | $-108 | $222 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February? | No | 42.5¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | $655 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Aster be the top performing crypto in February? | Yes | 68.5¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $338 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Chainlink dip to $6 in February? | No | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $84 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February? | No | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $84 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $40 in February? | No | 62.6¢ | 100¢ | $-38 | $257 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February? | No | 31.0¢ | 100¢ | +$730 | $498 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February? | No | 38.9¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | $54 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February? | No | 58.5¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $76 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February? | No | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $87 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February? | Yes | 69.8¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $2,056 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February? | No | 24.4¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $151 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Russia join the Board of Peace? | No | 57.4¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $126 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $160 by end of February? | No | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $26 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February? | No | 74.2¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $178 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February? | Yes | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | $35 | 28/02/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026? | No | 7.0¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $35 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of February? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $26 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February? | Yes | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $25 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February? | Yes | 3.5¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $58 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $160 by end of February? | Yes | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | $21 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $32 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February? | No | 26.7¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $1,663 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $85 by end of February? | No | 2.3¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $96 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of February? | Yes | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | $-72 | $129 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 22? | No | 3.0¢ | 0¢ | $-638 | $670 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 28? | No | 2.9¢ | 0¢ | $-857 | $944 | 28/02/2026 |
| Winter Games 2026: Norway (-6.5) vs. USA (+6.5) gold medals? | Norway | 2.0¢ | 0¢ | +$183 | $197 | 23/02/2026 |
| Will Eileen Gu (CHN) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | Yes | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | $730 | 23/02/2026 |
| Winter Games 2026: Norway (-6.5) vs. USA (+6.5) gold medals? | USA | 26.3¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | $1,457 | 23/02/2026 |
| Winter Games 2026: Norway (-4.5) vs. USA (+4.5) gold medals? | Norway | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $396 | 23/02/2026 |
| Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 17.4¢ | 0¢ | +$117 | $161 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will Italy win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 6.6¢ | 0¢ | +$45 | $77 | 22/02/2026 |