Win rate
56.4%
22 W / 17 L
Total PnL
$78
realized $-548 · unrealized $626
Portfolio
$626
volume $10,116
Predictions
125
4.0/day · avg $81
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 31/12/1969 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Esports 67% +$56
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega | Evil Geniuses | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs | Spirit | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
Sports 100% +$34
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims) | Tatiana Suarez | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
Geopolitics 61% +$8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 66¢ | 69¢ | +$1 | win |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 64¢ | 69¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | win |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | No | 80¢ | 76¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | No | 48¢ | 15¢ | +$2 | win |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 38¢ | 34¢ | $-4 | loss |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | No | 44¢ | 60¢ | +$13 | win |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | Yes | 35¢ | 27¢ | $-5 | loss |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | Yes | 36¢ | 40¢ | +$3 | win |
Politics 100% +$5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | Yes | 27¢ | 35¢ | +$5 | win |
Weather 60% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 18? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on April 17? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 16? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on April 14? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Other 36% $-241
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 57¢ | 26¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Claude 4.7 released by April 30? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $-2 | loss |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Weibo Gaming | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-72 | loss |
| Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5) | DN SOOPers | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | loss |
| LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Season | Karmine Corp Blue | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Weibo Gaming | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14? | Yes | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | loss |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14? | No | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | loss |
| Will Claude Opus 4.7 by Anthropic debut at a score of at least 1480? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (39)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega | Evil Geniuses | 53.3¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | $68 | 18/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | Spirit | 38.8¢ | 100¢ | +$114 | $73 | 18/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Weibo Gaming | 43.5¢ | 0¢ | $-72 | $73 | 18/04/2026 |
| Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5) | DN SOOPers | 42.0¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | $58 | 18/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs | Spirit | 54.8¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $73 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 18? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on April 17? | No | 94.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $38 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Season | Karmine Corp Blue | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on April 16? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $46 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 16? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $42 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Weibo Gaming | 41.8¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $66 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 76.7¢ | 83¢ | +$2 | $61 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on April 14? | No | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $23 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14? | Yes | 42.0¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | $49 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14? | No | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | $49 | 14/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims) | Tatiana Suarez | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $49 | 12/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 77.2¢ | 84¢ | +$6 | $87 | 07/04/2026 |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026? | No | 90.0¢ | 88¢ | $-1 | $49 | 14/03/2026 |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 53.3¢ | 38¢ | $-6 | $22 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will Claude Opus 4.7 by Anthropic debut at a score of at least 1480? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026? | No | 84.1¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $22 | 21/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 22.4¢ | 18¢ | $-10 | $49 | 22/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 72.0¢ | 82¢ | $-1 | $72 | 22/04/2026 |
| Claude 4.7 released by April 24? | Yes | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $49 | 24/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 38.1¢ | 34¢ | $-4 | $63 | 30/04/2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | No | 44.1¢ | 60¢ | +$13 | $37 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | Yes | 34.6¢ | 27¢ | $-5 | $23 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | Yes | 27.1¢ | 35¢ | +$5 | $27 | 30/04/2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | Yes | 35.7¢ | 40¢ | +$3 | $159 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 15.7¢ | 35¢ | +$3 | $28 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | No | 48.5¢ | 15¢ | +$2 | $45 | 30/04/2026 |
| Claude 4.7 released by April 30? | Yes | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $46 | 30/04/2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? | Yes | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $45 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 26.0¢ | 26¢ | $-2 | $29 | 30/04/2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | No | 80.4¢ | 76¢ | $-1 | $37 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 90.0¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | $22 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 65.8¢ | 69¢ | +$1 | $103 | 31/12/2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 63.8¢ | 69¢ | +$2 | $48 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 57.3¢ | 26¢ | $-8 | $66 | 31/12/2026 |