Win rate
87.5%
14 W / 2 L
Total PnL
$13,099
realized $8,696 · unrealized $4,403
Portfolio
$4,403
volume $387,582
Predictions
20
0.4/day · avg $19,379
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 03/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Elections 71% +$9,538
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-273 | loss |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$531 | win |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 39¢ | 81¢ | +$99 | win |
| Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | No | 80¢ | 95¢ | +$360 | win |
| Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 16¢ | 10¢ | $-37 | loss |
Geopolitics 100% +$883
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$399 | win |
Other 100% +$747
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$316 | win |
| Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | win |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$204 | win |
| Maduro out in 2025? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$173 | win |
Crypto 100% +$486
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 92¢ | +$43 | win |
Recent Trades (17)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31? | No | 87.6¢ | 100¢ | +$316 | $3,000 | 31/03/2026 |
| Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31? | No | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | $269 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | No | 89.1¢ | 100¢ | +$204 | $1,900 | 31/12/2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025? | No | 81.3¢ | 100¢ | +$173 | $1,000 | 31/12/2025 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | 87.4¢ | 100¢ | +$483 | $9,101 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | No | 89.6¢ | 100¢ | +$399 | $4,500 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.3¢ | 3¢ | +$2,229 | $1,421 | 04/10/2026 |
| Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | No | 79.8¢ | 95¢ | +$360 | $2,031 | 04/10/2026 |
| Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 15.5¢ | 10¢ | $-37 | $103 | 04/10/2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 11.3¢ | 39¢ | +$6,629 | $3,900 | 04/10/2026 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 85.6¢ | 100¢ | +$531 | $3,800 | 04/10/2026 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 39.1¢ | 81¢ | +$99 | $170 | 04/10/2026 |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $100 | 04/10/2026 |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4.5¢ | 0¢ | $-273 | $1,380 | 04/10/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 70.0¢ | 82¢ | +$345 | $2,500 | 01/01/2027 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 80.1¢ | 88¢ | +$98 | $1,000 | 01/01/2027 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 86.5¢ | 92¢ | +$43 | $680 | 01/01/2027 |