AlphaAlchemy

Culture 50% +$19 $272 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Anaconda" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	88¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	87¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-31	loss

Crypto 64% +$16 $555 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 18?	No	77¢	12¢	$-11	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 17?	Yes	72¢	60¢	+$4	win
Will "Elizabeth Taylor" get between 2.75 and 3 million views in the first week?	No	83¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 9?	Yes	97¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 8?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 8?	Yes	98¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 7?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 7?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will "Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	97¢	100¢	$-0	loss

Esports 67% +$13 $290 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Bebop (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	Lavked	62¢	100¢	+$18	win
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner	Team Heretics	48¢	100¢	+$10	win
Counter-Strike: ESC Gaming vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	ESC Gaming	73¢	100¢	+$2	win
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs UNiTY esports (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage	Alliance	77¢	100¢	+$2	win
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	Ursa	54¢	100¢	+$55	win
Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Crashers (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs	Vasco Esports	33¢	100¢	+$14	win
Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner	3DMAX	38¢	0¢	$-13	loss
Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Crashers (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs	Crashers	66¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	Acend	45¢	0¢	$-54	loss

Mentions 100% +$0 $21 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$0	win

Weather 50% $-2 $340 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 18?	No	70¢	57¢	$-4	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 9?	No	99¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 9?	No	98¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 7?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 6?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on April 6?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Politics 43% $-6 $281 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?	No	29¢	0¢	$-9	loss
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?	No	68¢	92¢	$-0	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	No	86¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$1	win

Elections 30% $-18 $1,056 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	No	82¢	72¢	$-3	loss
Will Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	93¢	82¢	$-3	loss
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	31¢	0¢	$-6	loss
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	86¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	24¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	75¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Clayton Fuller win the GA-14 special election?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	84¢	80¢	$-3	loss

Other 51% $-32 $1,652 vol · 35 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?	No	89¢	94¢	+$1	win
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?	Yes	10¢	6¢	$-4	loss
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	45¢	0¢	+$17	win
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	39¢	11¢	$-16	loss
ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand	Bangladesh	58¢	0¢	$-31	loss
ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand	New Zealand	41¢	100¢	+$31	win
Wuning 2: Keegan Smith vs Li Tu	Li Tu	58¢	100¢	+$45	win
Oeiras 3: Henrique Rocha vs Rei Sakamoto	Henrique Rocha	59¢	100¢	+$17	win
Oeiras 3: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Jonas Forejtek	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	68¢	100¢	+$12	win
BMW Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Francisco Cerundolo	Francisco Cerundolo	75¢	100¢	+$11	win

Tech 20% $-145 $704 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	96¢	97¢	$-1	loss
GPT-5.5 released by April 19, 2026?	No	94¢	99¢	+$4	win
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 on April 7?	Yes	99¢	100¢	$-107	loss
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $175 on April 7?	Yes	75¢	100¢	$-37	loss

Sports 48% $-151 $1,101 vol · 31 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Nagasaki Velca vs. Hiroshima Dragonflies	Nagasaki Velca	74¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	52¢	0¢	$-16	loss
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	63¢	100¢	+$15	win
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	67¢	100¢	+$10	win
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles	Arizona Diamondbacks	26¢	0¢	$-10	loss
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Arizona Diamondbacks	50¢	100¢	+$32	win
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners	Houston Astros	71¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	46¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	52¢	100¢	+$24	win
Athletics vs. New York Mets	Athletics	87¢	100¢	+$14	win

Geopolitics 38% $-170 $1,730 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	69¢	78¢	+$1	win
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	No	62¢	0¢	$-7	loss
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	No	91¢	99¢	+$22	win
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	Yes	8¢	1¢	$-28	loss
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?	No	44¢	14¢	$-20	loss
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?	Yes	70¢	86¢	$-87	loss
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	No	30¢	9¢	+$4	win
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	Yes	68¢	91¢	$-26	loss
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 14?	Yes	91¢	100¢	$-1	loss
US x Iran meeting by April 14, 2026?	No	5¢	0¢	$-22	loss