Win rate
50.0%
13 W / 13 L
Total PnL
$-12
realized $-1,705 · unrealized $1,693
Portfolio
$1,693
volume $42,655
Predictions
46
0.9/day · avg $927
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 01/11/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 44% +$15
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI? | Yes | 88¢ | 86¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? | No | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 3? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Finance 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 74¢ | 76¢ | +$1 | win |
Crypto 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $500 before 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Economy 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Tech 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale? | Yes | 90¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | loss |
Politics 25% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will David Roth be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Idaho? | Yes | 85¢ | 84¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Sports 25% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 0% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-3 | loss |
Recent Trades (29)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $23 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $28 | 03/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 3? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $24 | 03/03/2026 |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31? | Yes | 80.2¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $43 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $40 | 31/01/2026 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $37 | 28/01/2026 |
| Will Solana reach $500 before 2026? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $46 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? | No | 63.7¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $26 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $48 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $73 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $46 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $27 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? | No | 96.3¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $30 | 30/04/2026 |
| Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale? | Yes | 90.0¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | $41 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will David Roth be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Idaho? | Yes | 85.0¢ | 84¢ | $-0 | $30 | 19/05/2026 |
| Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $22 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $48 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $58 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $54 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 74.0¢ | 76¢ | +$1 | $29 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $42 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI? | Yes | 87.5¢ | 86¢ | $-1 | $30 | 31/07/2026 |
| Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,551 | 06/12/2026 |
| Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,567 | 06/12/2026 |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $27 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99.4¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | $1,552 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 0.9¢ | 1¢ | $-3 | $24 | 07/11/2028 |