Win rate
82.1%
771 W / 168 L
Total PnL
$2,286
realized $-1,567 · unrealized $3,854
Portfolio
$3,854
volume $568,682
Predictions
1,121
31.4/day · avg $507
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 12/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 85% +$1,864
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the US strike Somalia next? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will the US strike Somalia next? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the US strike Somalia next? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 83¢ | 82¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Wuning: Clement Chidekh vs Harry Wendelken | Harry Wendelken | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | Oh My God | 78¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | ThunderTalk Gaming | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-26 | loss |
| LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | JD Gaming | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
Elections 88% +$760
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50¢ | 19¢ | $-1,007 | loss |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 50¢ | 81¢ | +$1,007 | win |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 73¢ | 66¢ | +$2 | win |
| 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds under 15% by March 31? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Sanseitō win the third-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$384 | win |
| Will the Centrist Reform Alliance be part of the governing coalition as a result of the 2026 Japanese snap election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Democratic Party for the People win the third-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election? | Yes | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
Esports 78% +$718
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs paiN Academy - Map 1 Winner | paiN Academy | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winner | FURIA Esports | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs WinteR SquadronS (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage | InterActive Philippines | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS - Game 2 Winner | Inner Circle | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs ShindeN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: ACE Masters Group B | KRÜ Spark | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | ex-RUBY | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | MOUZ NXT | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group A | XI Esport | 91¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Metizport (BO5) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs | Metizport | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Dota 2: WinteR SquadronS vs Ivory - Game 2 Winner | Ivory | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Politics 97% +$283
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Third term" in March? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Trump say "Hiroshima" or "Nagasaki" during events with Japanese PM? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 3? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1) | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | win |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 25? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 27? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Hillary say "Trump" 5+ times during her Epstein testimony? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Culture 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Weather 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 20? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Mentions 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Finance 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 18, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Tech 86% $-13
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 22? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 67% $-18
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 23? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will another company be accused of insider trading? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
Geopolitics 91% $-53
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US strike Iran next? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 66¢ | 84¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | No | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 Winner | Nuclear TigeRES | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | 1WIN | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 22-28, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 15-21, 2026 (ET)? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
Economy 50% $-827
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be 2.6%? | Yes | 98¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | loss |
| Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥2.7%? | No | 99¢ | 0¢ | $-794 | loss |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Sports 82% $-1,084
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Dodgers | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Kings vs. Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5 | Under | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Arizona Diamondbacks | 37¢ | 0¢ | +$12 | win |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Dodgers | 69¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) | Athletics | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Toronto Blue Jays | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Over | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 | Over | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Dodgers | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $5,008 | 18/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs paiN Academy - Map 1 Winner | paiN Academy | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $186 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $114 | 18/04/2026 |
| Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega | FURIA Esports | 92.7¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $484 | 18/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs WinteR SquadronS (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage | InterActive Philippines | 84.1¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $72 | 18/04/2026 |
| Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winner | FURIA Esports | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 18/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs | paiN Academy | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $41 | 18/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs | Inner Circle | 29.0¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs ShindeN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: ACE Masters Group B | KRÜ Spark | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $34 | 17/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS - Game 2 Winner | Inner Circle | 43.5¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Wuning: Clement Chidekh vs Harry Wendelken | Harry Wendelken | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $5,029 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winner | ex-RUBY | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,957 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | ex-RUBY | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | MOUZ NXT | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group A | XI Esport | 91.2¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | $64 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | Oh My God | 78.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $55 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | ThunderTalk Gaming | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-26 | $1,919 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | JD Gaming | 49.4¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | T1 | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Metizport (BO5) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs | Metizport | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Over | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $257 | 16/04/2026 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Under | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $4,226 | 16/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: WinteR SquadronS vs Ivory - Game 2 Winner | Ivory | 92.7¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $34 | 16/04/2026 |
| Game Handicap: LYNX (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5) | Team Lynx | 94.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $44 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: ESC Gaming vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | ESC Gaming | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,998 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 Winner | Nuclear TigeRES | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,713 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | Sentinels | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,258 | 16/04/2026 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Over | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $92 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner | Sentinels | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $843 | 16/04/2026 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Under | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $27 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | KT Rolster Challengers | 70.0¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | $49 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs | Young Ninjas | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | $-19 | $41 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | 1WIN | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 16/04/2026 |
| Wuning: Sergey Fomin vs Harry Wendelken | Harry Wendelken | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | $-25 | $72 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | Nongshim Esports Academy | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-35 | $157 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Dplus KIA | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | +$70 | $430 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Weibo Gaming | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $31 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner | ThunderTalk Gaming | 47.5¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $66 | 15/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner | FlyQuest | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $112 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner | ThunderTalk Gaming | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $58 | 15/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Heroic vs South America Rejects (BO5) - DreamLeague South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs | South America Rejects | 33.1¢ | 0¢ | +$12 | $23 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Ultra Prime | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | Spirit | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $116 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner | Nongshim Red Force | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $66 | 15/04/2026 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Over | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $97 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kalinina vs. Udvardy: Match O/U 21.5 | Over | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 15/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner | Shopify Rebellion Black | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | $132 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | RED Canids | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 15/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Heroic vs South America Rejects (BO5) - DreamLeague South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs | Heroic | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-33 | $1,070 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | KT Rolster | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | $-36 | $510 | 15/04/2026 |