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0x82617a1ECE125aC2c6b4EF355BddACCaC972a3F1-1737481665035
0x82617a1ece125ac2c6b4ef355bddaccac972a3f1 · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
54.3%
44 W / 37 L
Total PnL
$-966
realized $-1,736 · unrealized $770
Portfolio
$770
volume $256,509
Predictions
95
1.1/day · avg $2,700
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 21/01/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Esports 67% +$350
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs | Vitality | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$456 | win |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs | Vitality | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$144 | win |
| Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | Aurora | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs | Aurora Gaming | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-257 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A | Team Falcons | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A | FURIA | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | loss |
Other 60% +$292
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Disguised vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Season | Cloud9 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | win |
| LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Over | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | loss |
| RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5 | Over | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5 | Over | 85¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | loss |
| AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 56¢ | 100¢ | $-87 | loss |
| FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5 | Over | 32¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | win |
| FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5 | Over | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-13? | Yes | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | Yes | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Geopolitics 69% +$177
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 47¢ | 34¢ | $-48 | loss |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | Yes | 52¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 47¢ | 33¢ | +$0 | — |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 21¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-109 | loss |
Politics 0% $-32
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | Yes | 82¢ | 80¢ | $-32 | loss |
Mentions 40% $-41
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-364 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-158 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Jan 17-24? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 17-24? | Yes | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | loss |
Tech 50% $-109
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$116 | win |
| Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO? | Yes | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-225 | loss |
Weather 60% $-311
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on October 31? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on October 30? | Yes | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-424 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on October 29? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on October 28? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on October 26? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
Crypto 50% $-360
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | Down | 79¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-364 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on October 30? | Yes | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Sports 44% $-957
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Thunder (-15.5) | Thunder | 79¢ | 77¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Knicks | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$230 | win |
| Pistons vs. Pacers | Pacers | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$267 | win |
| Nuggets vs. Knicks | Knicks | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$228 | win |
| Clippers vs. Spurs | Clippers | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$189 | win |
| Nets vs. Hornets | Hornets | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-349 | loss |
| Nuggets vs. Knicks | Nuggets | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-418 | loss |
| Timberwolves vs. Suns | Suns | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-1,179 | loss |
| Rockets vs. Hawks | Rockets | 65¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Lakers vs. 76ers | Lakers | 73¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs | Vitality | 70.1¢ | 100¢ | +$456 | $1,072 | 19/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs | Vitality | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$144 | $974 | 19/04/2026 |
| LoL: Disguised vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Season | Cloud9 | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | $1,119 | 19/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $1,008 | 19/04/2026 |
| Spread: Thunder (-15.5) | Thunder | 79.0¢ | 77¢ | $-20 | $790 | 19/04/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Knicks | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$230 | $770 | 18/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | Aurora | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $577 | 18/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $2,277 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 21.0¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | $1,571 | 07/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs | Aurora Gaming | 74.9¢ | 0¢ | $-257 | $271 | 01/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 24.0¢ | 0¢ | +$118 | $3,477 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | Yes | 29.8¢ | 100¢ | +$441 | $427 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | $365 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | Yes | 15.0¢ | 0¢ | $-83 | $219 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | Yes | 14.2¢ | 0¢ | $-364 | $389 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? | Yes | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$249 | $844 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? | No | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $760 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? | Yes | 26.2¢ | 0¢ | $-158 | $270 | 28/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A | Team Falcons | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $35 | 23/03/2026 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Over | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $47 | 23/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A | FURIA | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | $91 | 23/03/2026 |
| RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5 | Over | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$83 | $78 | 20/03/2026 |
| RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5 | Over | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 20/03/2026 |
| Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5 | Over | 85.0¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | $75 | 20/03/2026 |
| AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | $-87 | $162 | 20/03/2026 |
| FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5 | Over | 32.0¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | $40 | 18/03/2026 |
| FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $40 | 18/03/2026 |
| FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5 | Over | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $47 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-13? | Yes | 67.0¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $47 | 13/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | Down | 79.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 17/02/2026 |
| Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO? | No | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$116 | $390 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Yes | 82.2¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $509 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Yes | 60.2¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $785 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Yes | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | $-84 | $487 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO? | Yes | 41.0¢ | 0¢ | $-225 | $332 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Yes | 26.0¢ | 0¢ | $-364 | $592 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | Yes | 86.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $248 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-01? | Yes | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | $-19 | $813 | 01/11/2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on October 31? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $61 | 31/10/2025 |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5) | Anyones Legend | 59.3¢ | 0¢ | $-307 | $421 | 31/10/2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on October 30? | Yes | 37.8¢ | 100¢ | +$132 | $80 | 30/10/2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on October 30? | Yes | 53.3¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | $120 | 30/10/2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on October 30? | Yes | 57.9¢ | 0¢ | $-424 | $424 | 30/10/2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on October 29? | Yes | 91.4¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $228 | 29/10/2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on October 28? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | $518 | 28/10/2025 |
| Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26? | Yes | 83.9¢ | 100¢ | +$261 | $1,361 | 26/10/2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on October 26? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $621 | 26/10/2025 |
| Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-25? | Yes | 79.3¢ | 100¢ | +$287 | $1,097 | 25/10/2025 |
| Will Leeds United win on 2025-10-24? | Yes | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $93 | 24/10/2025 |
| Pistons vs. Pacers | Pacers | 76.2¢ | 100¢ | +$267 | $933 | 06/02/2025 |