AZwater

Crypto 96% +$78,394 $28,640,511 vol · 3986 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	No	95¢	100¢	+$273	win
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	No	99¢	99¢	+$20	win
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?	No	99¢	99¢	$-10	loss
Will XRP reach $2.60 in April?	No	99¢	99¢	+$18	win
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 13?	No	100¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 12?	No	100¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on April 11?	No	100¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 11?	No	100¢	100¢	+$5	win

Politics 97% +$26,831 $1,176,413 vol · 37 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1,060	win
Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?	No	99¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in October?	No	91¢	100¢	+$116	win
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	No	97¢	100¢	+$6,041	win
Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$203	win
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in August?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$80	win
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$643	win
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 1?	No	99¢	100¢	+$90	win
Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?	No	99¢	100¢	+$381	win

Elections 87% +$22,566 $4,552,356 vol · 183 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the JA21 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	99¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	97¢	100¢	+$480	win
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$330	win
Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	96¢	100¢	+$301	win
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$166	win
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	97¢	100¢	+$484	win
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	99¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	98¢	100¢	+$317	win
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$367	win
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	89¢	100¢	+$296	win

Tech 99% +$6,344 $1,082,936 vol · 411 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 17?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 17?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 17?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 17?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Meta (META) Up or Down on April 17?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 17?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $204 Week of April 13 2026?	No	100¢	98¢	$-15	loss
Meta (META) Up or Down on April 14?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$6	win
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 14?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 14?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$2	win

Sports 89% +$3,657 $714,309 vol · 93 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on April 17?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on April 14?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on April 13?	Up	99¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?	No	100¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 23 above $110?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?	No	98¢	100¢	+$148	win
Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?	No	98¢	100¢	+$39	win
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on March 20?	Down	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on March 19?	Down	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Carlos Sainz win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?	No	100¢	100¢	+$11	win

Finance 98% +$2,024 $421,835 vol · 60 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 17?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$5	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 17?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on April 17?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on April 14?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$5	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 14?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$5	win
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on April 14?	Up	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 10?	Down	98¢	100¢	+$43	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 8?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$90	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 8?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$46	win
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on April 8?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$11	win

Economy 100% +$1,253 $185,778 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	+$31	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	No	93¢	100¢	+$651	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	+$270	win
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$230	win
25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$71	win

Culture 100% +$731 $103,803 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$198	win
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	100¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Elio win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	100¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$34	win
Will Jurassic World Rebirth win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will MrBeast's celebrity challenge video get between 33 and 34 million views on day 1?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$60	win
Will MrBeast's celebrity challenge video get 35 million or more views on day 1?	No	100¢	100¢	+$4	win
Italian solidary responsibility of the client, contractor, and subcontractor for injuries referendum	No	99¢	100¢	+$10	win

Mentions 86% $-6,861 $1,235,426 vol · 118 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$87	win
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$55	win
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Elon tweet between 700 and 749 times September 1–30?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Weather 60% $-29,503 $88,063 vol · 36 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in London be between 41-42°F on February 2?	No	100¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 46°F or higher on February 1?	No	99¢	0¢	$-1,741	loss
Will the highest temperature in London between 43-44°F on February 1?	No	90¢	0¢	$-1,000	loss
Will the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on January 31?	No	81¢	0¢	$-2,837	loss
Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on January 31?	Yes	87¢	0¢	$-3,352	loss
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 48-49°F on January 31?	No	98¢	0¢	$-4,712	loss
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 46-47°F on January 31?	Yes	98¢	0¢	$-1,345	loss
Will the highest temperature in London be between 42-43°F on January 30?	No	97¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will the highest temperature in London be between 50-51°F on January 29?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 32°F or below on February 2?	No	98¢	0¢	$-3,675	loss

Geopolitics 84% $-47,201 $730,812 vol · 38 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$65	win
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$30	win
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$29	win
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$21	win
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$22	win
Israel strike on Iran on June 30?	No	99¢	100¢	$-48	loss
UK strike on Iran before July?	No	95¢	100¢	+$1,116	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	100¢	100¢	+$34	win

Other 85% $-133,436 $6,727,642 vol · 428 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$6,328	win
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$2,086	win
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?	No	100¢	100¢	+$29	win
Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?	No	99¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1,191	win
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	No	100¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$288	win
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	No	100¢	100¢	$-1,656	loss
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$211	win
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	No	78¢	0¢	$-1,306	loss