axiol

Other 77% +$10,480 $98,618 vol · 1307 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?	No	50¢	100¢	+$145	win
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	31¢	100¢	+$120	win
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	93¢	100¢	+$2	win
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?	No	30¢	0¢	$-53	loss
Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	72¢	0¢	$-31	loss
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	48¢	100¢	+$47	win
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$26	win
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$13	win

Esports 67% +$2,841 $13,584 vol · 266 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner	3DMAX	52¢	0¢	$-162	loss
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs	FUT Esports	62¢	100¢	+$40	win
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner	Astralis	57¢	100¢	+$51	win
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs	TheMongolz	15¢	100¢	+$146	win
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs	MIBR	41¢	0¢	$-54	loss
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 - Map 1 Winner	FUT Esports	66¢	100¢	+$44	win
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winner	Wildcard	51¢	0¢	$-66	loss
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner	3DMAX	41¢	100¢	+$67	win
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca - Map 1 Winner	Voca	67¢	100¢	+$37	win
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner	BC.Game Esports	52¢	0¢	$-90	loss

Elections 69% +$1,532 $12,910 vol · 100 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	19¢	19¢	+$0	win
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	20¢	28¢	+$15	win
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	78¢	84¢	+$18	win
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	19¢	12¢	$-9	loss
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	29¢	37¢	+$24	win
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	82¢	66¢	$-26	loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	79¢	78¢	$-1	loss
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	Yes	77¢	94¢	+$39	win
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	85¢	97¢	+$13	win
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	18¢	20¢	+$4	win

Tech 82% +$1,155 $7,169 vol · 93 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$13	win
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	14¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?	No	23¢	0¢	$-48	loss
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	38¢	0¢	$-128	loss
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?	No	91¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-27	loss
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on January 28?	Up	4¢	100¢	+$958	win

Politics 76% +$1,142 $23,740 vol · 225 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	2¢	1¢	$-5	loss
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	25¢	27¢	+$16	win
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	No	93¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	60¢	100¢	+$495	win
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	72¢	100¢	+$175	win
Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	94¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	Yes	71¢	100¢	$-14	loss
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	No	45¢	0¢	$-37	loss
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	27¢	0¢	$-261	loss

Sports 60% +$880 $18,171 vol · 260 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	No	95¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	13¢	11¢	$-3	loss
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	42¢	46¢	+$17	win
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	51¢	98¢	+$140	win
Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics	Athletics	15¢	0¢	$-43	loss
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros	Colorado Rockies	36¢	100¢	+$118	win
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	55¢	0¢	$-80	loss
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	31¢	0¢	$-45	loss
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians	Baltimore Orioles	42¢	100¢	+$77	win
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics	Texas Rangers	56¢	100¢	+$115	win

Mentions 85% +$350 $1,519 vol · 27 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?	No	87¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?	No	90¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?	Yes	52¢	100¢	+$25	win
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Elon Musk post 130-139 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?	No	86¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?	Yes	29¢	100¢	+$165	win
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win

Culture 81% +$266 $7,512 vol · 75 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	95¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	52¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	93¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 42m and 46m?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?	No	93¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will "Send Help" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?	No	82¢	100¢	+$5	win

Economy 62% +$210 $7,729 vol · 21 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	No	87¢	100¢	+$2	win
US recession in 2025?	No	96¢	100¢	+$0	win
Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?	No	94¢	100¢	+$1	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	No	89¢	100¢	+$94	win
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$234	win
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs	Mississippi State Bulldogs	69¢	100¢	+$9	win
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	49¢	100¢	+$49	win
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	No	64¢	100¢	+$104	win

Weather 82% +$7 $481 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?	Yes	75¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$2	win
Miami Hurricanes vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons	Miami Hurricanes	62¢	100¢	+$16	win
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2026?	No	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on December 28?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
DePaul Blue Demons vs. St. John's Red Storm	St. Johns Red Storm	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on November 13?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 49-50°F on November 12?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on November 11?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 9?	Yes	98¢	100¢	$-1	loss

Finance 70% $-165 $851 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	83¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-64	loss
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	No	81¢	0¢	$-97	loss
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?	No	83¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$7	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 27?	Up	91¢	100¢	+$2	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 27?	Down	9¢	0¢	$-27	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23?	Down	40¢	100¢	+$48	win
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on January 21?	Up	96¢	100¢	+$1	win

Crypto 77% $-284 $11,951 vol · 206 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	95¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on February 6?	No	4¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on February 1?	No	76¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will XRP dip to $1.40 in January?	No	96¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will the price of XRP be above $2.10 on January 30?	No	97¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on January 27?	No	69¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will "Kidnapped: Elizabeth Smart" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 27, 2026)	No	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 27?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-29	loss
XRP Up or Down - January 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	90¢	100¢	+$11	win

Geopolitics 72% $-1,932 $42,580 vol · 313 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	84¢	100¢	$-8	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	61¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	96¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?	No	88¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	Yes	42¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	27¢	0¢	$-118	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	47¢	0¢	$-254	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	53¢	70¢	+$85	win