20to1k

Politics 83% +$1,684 $42,134 vol · 257 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	77¢	90¢	+$1	win
Will Trump say "Gulf of Trump" in April?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will Leavitt say "President" 69+ times during the next White House press briefing?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during the next White House press briefing?	No	37¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 39.0% in April?	No	36¢	55¢	+$13	win
Will Trump say "All over the place" this week? (April 19)	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 3+ times during TPUSA events on April 17?	Yes	98¢	97¢	$-6	loss
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during TPUSA events on April 17?	No	89¢	94¢	+$2	win
Will Trump say "Democrat" during Fox interview on Wednesday?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$6	win

Other 77% +$1,347 $18,754 vol · 111 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US strike Somalia next?	No	2¢	0¢	+$799	win
Will the US strike Syria next?	Yes	7¢	0¢	+$100	win
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$74	win
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$29	win
Will the US strike Syria next?	No	86¢	100¢	$-66	loss
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	97¢	100¢	$-522	loss
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	9¢	8¢	$-6	loss
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	67¢	100¢	+$40	win
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	20¢	36¢	$-2	loss
Will Karoline Leavitt be between 15 and 20 minutes late to the next press briefing?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$6	win

Culture 100% +$185 $364 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny be the top Spotify album for 2025?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will "Black to the Future" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?	Yes	62¢	100¢	+$183	win

Crypto 90% +$184 $1,718 vol · 21 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Hegseth or Cooper say "America" 15+ times during press conference?	No	83¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Hegseth or Cooper say "Power" 5+ times during press conference?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$6	win
XRP all time high before 2026?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$41	win
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 December 1-7?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31?	No	85¢	100¢	+$27	win
Ethereum all time high by August 31?	Yes	82¢	100¢	$-9	loss
Bitcoin above $113.5K on August 19 at 4PM ET?	No	97¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Ethereum reach $3100 in July?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Bitcoin hit $107k or $109k first?	109k	88¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will Ethereum reach $3000 before July 14?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$14	win

Tech 71% +$121 $888 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Macbook" be said 10+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	No	83¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?	Yes	48¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will Google reach $335 in November?	No	62¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Will Dave’s Hot Chicken be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?	No	77¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?	No	84¢	100¢	$-6	loss
Will anyone say "Apple" 50+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Apple release iPhone 17 by September 9?	No	91¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will anyone say "Sam" or "Altman" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$13	win

Weather 71% +$54 $344 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?	Yes	52¢	0¢	+$11	win
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	Yes	67¢	0¢	+$17	win
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	No	85¢	100¢	$-4	loss
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$30	win
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?	No	91¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?	Yes	34¢	0¢	$-15	loss

Sports 67% +$45 $1,174 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 30 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	63¢	0¢	$-113	loss
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during January press conference?	No	94¢	100¢	+$4	win
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by August 10?	Yes	63¢	100¢	+$16	win

Finance 100% +$13 $113 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) say "Tariff" during earnings call?	No	92¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will anyone say "Million", "Billion", or "Trillion" 15+ times during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?	No	98¢	100¢	+$10	win

Elections 100% +$2 $138 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50¢	81¢	+$0	—
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50¢	19¢	+$0	—
Will Trump say "Midterm" during Fox interview on Wednesday?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$2	win

Geopolitics 64% $-214 $6,860 vol · 33 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	96¢	100¢	+$23	win
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	63¢	28¢	$-2	loss
Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-55	loss
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	97¢	100¢	$-402	loss
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	No	72¢	0¢	$-58	loss
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	39¢	100¢	$-20	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?	No	3¢	0¢	$-6	loss
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	97¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	Yes	67¢	92¢	+$4	win
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$9	win