Win rate
48.0%
24 W / 26 L
Total PnL
$2,487
realized $-4,020 · unrealized $6,507
Portfolio
$6,507
volume $116,637
Predictions
168
3.2/day · avg $694
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 20/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 54% +$2,194
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 58¢ | 22¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 68¢ | 70¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 64¢ | 78¢ | +$144 | win |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 47¢ | 76¢ | +$142 | win |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | No | 49¢ | 50¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | No | 72¢ | 82¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | 39¢ | 68¢ | +$188 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 52¢ | 73¢ | +$24 | win |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | No | 84¢ | 72¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 30¢ | 65¢ | $-14 | loss |
Politics 75% +$409
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 60¢ | 39¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | Yes | 28¢ | 40¢ | +$277 | win |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 43¢ | 8¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | Yes | 25¢ | 36¢ | +$130 | win |
Sports 0% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 21¢ | 23¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
Crypto 67% $-21
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | Up | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10AM ET | Up | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5PM ET | Down | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Other 31% $-503
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 36¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 16¢ | 18¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? | No | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-113 | loss |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 43¢ | 42¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 26¢ | 48¢ | $-199 | loss |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 50¢ | 48¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,800 on the final trading day of March 2026? | Yes | 36¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 55.1¢ | 91¢ | +$147 | $1,347 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 52.3¢ | 0¢ | $-225 | $345 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 52.3¢ | 91¢ | +$430 | $2,019 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 55.1¢ | 9¢ | $-16 | $151 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $21 | 04/04/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $25 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | Yes | 22.7¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | $44 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,800 on the final trading day of March 2026? | Yes | 36.0¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $23 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | Up | 60.4¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 23/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10AM ET | Up | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $30 | 21/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5PM ET | Down | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 21/02/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | Yes | 26.2¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $23 | 01/01/1970 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? | Yes | 63.0¢ | 69¢ | $-22 | $202 | 01/01/1970 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | Yes | 25.1¢ | 36¢ | +$130 | $868 | 21/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 69.2¢ | 84¢ | $-6 | $190 | 21/04/2026 |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 43.1¢ | 8¢ | $-15 | $100 | 21/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 21.5¢ | 38¢ | +$455 | $2,427 | 22/04/2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | Yes | 27.5¢ | 40¢ | +$277 | $694 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 37.1¢ | 60¢ | +$218 | $802 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 46.4¢ | 48¢ | $-164 | $1,839 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | Yes | 36.8¢ | 51¢ | +$89 | $276 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 46.9¢ | 65¢ | +$97 | $436 | 30/04/2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | Yes | 24.1¢ | 66¢ | +$174 | $276 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 50.3¢ | 0¢ | +$204 | $702 | 30/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 60.5¢ | 39¢ | +$16 | $490 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $81 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 50.0¢ | 48¢ | +$10 | $20 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 64.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,534 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | No | 48.8¢ | 7¢ | $-13 | $223 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 30.0¢ | 65¢ | $-14 | $99 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 26.0¢ | 48¢ | $-199 | $646 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 51.6¢ | 73¢ | +$24 | $516 | 31/05/2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | No | 84.0¢ | 72¢ | $-3 | $45 | 31/05/2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | 39.0¢ | 68¢ | +$188 | $342 | 30/06/2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 33.2¢ | 74¢ | +$215 | $645 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? | No | 19.4¢ | 68¢ | +$25 | $60 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 21.0¢ | 23¢ | $-2 | $21 | 30/06/2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 43.0¢ | 42¢ | $-7 | $26 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? | No | 14.6¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | $544 | 30/06/2026 |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | No | 71.5¢ | 82¢ | $-13 | $43 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? | No | 10.5¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $186 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? | No | 11.7¢ | 0¢ | $-113 | $305 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | No | 49.0¢ | 50¢ | $-2 | $98 | 31/07/2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 46.5¢ | 52¢ | +$28 | $646 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 63.6¢ | 78¢ | +$144 | $991 | 31/12/2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 46.8¢ | 76¢ | +$142 | $226 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 58.0¢ | 22¢ | $-1 | $31 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 16.5¢ | 18¢ | $-6 | $60 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 68.3¢ | 70¢ | $-11 | $269 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 36¢ | $-17 | $150 | 31/12/2026 |