Win rate
57.1%
16 W / 12 L
Total PnL
$86
realized $-2,267 · unrealized $2,353
Portfolio
$2,353
volume $6,017
Predictions
27
0.9/day · avg $223
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 24/11/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 33% +$51
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 76¢ | 83¢ | +$8 | win |
| USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 88¢ | 69¢ | $-22 | loss |
| StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 96¢ | 95¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 40¢ | 36¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will London have between 40-50mm of precipitation in April? | No | 93¢ | 92¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | win |
Crypto 100% +$14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Geopolitics 0% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 88¢ | 91¢ | $-2 | loss |
Weather 69% $-31
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on April 18? | No | 84¢ | 78¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 18? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 17? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 17? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 17? | No | 74¢ | 72¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 17? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on April 16? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 15? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on April 15? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Recent Trades (28)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 17? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on April 17? | No | 83.6¢ | 92¢ | +$32 | $335 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 17? | No | 96.6¢ | 96¢ | $-4 | $322 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 17? | No | 83.4¢ | 70¢ | $-32 | $210 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 17? | No | 91.7¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $147 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on April 17? | No | 95.2¢ | 99¢ | +$5 | $135 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on April 17? | No | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $117 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on April 17? | No | 75.0¢ | 50¢ | $-45 | $139 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 17? | No | 73.8¢ | 72¢ | $-1 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 17? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $29 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on April 16? | No | 94.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 15? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on April 15? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $200 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31? | No | 92.7¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | $955 | 23/01/2026 |
| MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour? | Yes | 95.9¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $207 | 26/11/2025 |
| MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes? | Yes | 47.0¢ | 50¢ | +$8 | $199 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on April 18? | No | 96.9¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $181 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 18? | No | 96.0¢ | 98¢ | +$2 | $78 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on April 18? | No | 84.1¢ | 78¢ | $-11 | $172 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will London have between 40-50mm of precipitation in April? | No | 92.5¢ | 92¢ | $-1 | $200 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 88.0¢ | 91¢ | $-2 | $211 | 31/12/2026 |
| Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 75.8¢ | 83¢ | +$8 | $192 | 01/01/2027 |
| USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 88.0¢ | 69¢ | $-22 | $100 | 01/01/2027 |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 93.0¢ | 92¢ | $-1 | $100 | 01/01/2027 |
| StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 96.1¢ | 95¢ | $-1 | $100 | 01/01/2027 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 68.0¢ | 60¢ | $-6 | $50 | 01/01/2027 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 40.0¢ | 36¢ | $-2 | $25 | 01/01/2027 |
| Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 01/01/2028 |