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0x4514F551C6e1049bf8f205EF4e4024342f8A8AfB-1772628724418
0x817c4c3f0fbab46c5d549e3f77a29707b42ec2c7 · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
34.5%
10 W / 19 L
Total PnL
$-231
realized $-901 · unrealized $670
Portfolio
$670
volume $18,471
Predictions
21
0.7/day · avg $880
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 04/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Elections 40% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 12¢ | 11¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 82¢ | 83¢ | +$2 | win |
Crypto 25% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | Yes | 49¢ | 49¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | No | 51¢ | 51¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | No | 56¢ | 44¢ | $-3 | loss |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | No | 84¢ | 78¢ | +$5 | win |
Geopolitics 50% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 31¢ | 30¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | No | 49¢ | 50¢ | $-6 | loss |
Economy 0% $-10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 25¢ | 25¢ | $-10 | loss |
Politics 50% $-29
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 28¢ | 21¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 62¢ | 61¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 25¢ | 27¢ | +$6 | win |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 84¢ | 84¢ | +$2 | win |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 18¢ | 16¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$0 | win |
| Trump out as President before GTA VI? | No | 48¢ | 48¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Trump out as President before GTA VI? | Yes | 53¢ | 52¢ | $-2 | loss |
Other 14% $-195
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 37¢ | 44¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? | No | 74¢ | 65¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison? | Yes | 13¢ | 3¢ | $-108 | loss |
Recent Trades (29)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | No | 55.9¢ | 44¢ | $-3 | $60 | 01/02/2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | No | 84.0¢ | 78¢ | +$5 | $109 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison? | No | 88.8¢ | 97¢ | $-2 | $30 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison? | No | 88.9¢ | 75¢ | $-3 | $63 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? | No | 74.4¢ | 65¢ | $-21 | $147 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison? | Yes | 26.0¢ | 24¢ | $-26 | $86 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? | Yes | 29.0¢ | 35¢ | $-54 | $337 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison? | Yes | 12.6¢ | 3¢ | $-108 | $261 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | No | 51.2¢ | 51¢ | $-2 | $471 | 31/07/2026 |
| Trump out as President before GTA VI? | Yes | 53.0¢ | 52¢ | $-2 | $164 | 31/07/2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | Yes | 48.9¢ | 49¢ | $-1 | $100 | 31/07/2026 |
| Trump out as President before GTA VI? | No | 48.0¢ | 48¢ | $-5 | $157 | 31/07/2026 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | No | 49.0¢ | 50¢ | $-6 | $280 | 31/07/2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 18.0¢ | 16¢ | $-2 | $30 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 87.0¢ | 88¢ | +$0 | $74 | 31/12/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 37.0¢ | 44¢ | +$17 | $80 | 31/12/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 31.0¢ | 30¢ | +$2 | $114 | 31/12/2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 84.0¢ | 84¢ | +$2 | $49 | 31/12/2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 25.0¢ | 25¢ | $-10 | $93 | 31/01/2027 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 17¢ | $-1 | $63 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 24.7¢ | 27¢ | +$6 | $119 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 21.3¢ | 21¢ | $-15 | $88 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 36.9¢ | 39¢ | +$2 | $126 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 82.4¢ | 81¢ | +$1 | $212 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 89.7¢ | 89¢ | $-1 | $59 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 81.9¢ | 83¢ | +$2 | $74 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 61.9¢ | 61¢ | +$0 | $20 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 11.9¢ | 11¢ | $-2 | $20 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 28.1¢ | 21¢ | $-15 | $65 | 07/11/2028 |