Win rate
50.0%
53 W / 53 L
Total PnL
$2,701
realized $558 · unrealized $2,143
Portfolio
$2,143
volume $214,684
Predictions
133
3.4/day · avg $1,614
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 01/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Mentions 40% +$1,455
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | No | 89¢ | 62¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will CZ post 60-79 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | No | 70¢ | 96¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$390 | win |
| Will CZ post 60-79 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Will Khamenei post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-71 | loss |
| Will Khamenei post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will CZ post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-196 | loss |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 73¢ | 0¢ | $-77 | loss |
| Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | $-19 | loss |
Tech 100% +$696
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 15? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$168 | win |
| Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 7? | Yes | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 2? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Crypto 100% +$256
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$106 | win |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 24-30? | No | 33¢ | 100¢ | +$132 | win |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 24-30? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
Other 57% +$218
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 48¢ | 88¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | loss |
| EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Based FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-203 | loss |
| EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch? | Yes | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Based FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 37¢ | 0¢ | +$18 | win |
| Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-2,409 | loss |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 70% by June 30? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 59¢ | 8¢ | $-36 | loss |
| DeepSeek V4 released by April 30? | Yes | 80¢ | 76¢ | $-2 | loss |
Sports 100% +$68
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | win |
| Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
Esports 0% $-162
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner | BNK FEARX | 92¢ | 0¢ | $-119 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MINHxDYNASTY win the Legend Trade Series? | No | 55.4¢ | 100¢ | +$294 | $608 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 7? | Yes | 39.2¢ | 100¢ | +$444 | $310 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 15? | Yes | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$168 | $818 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$390 | $332 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 15? | Yes | 84.7¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $272 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 7? | Yes | 59.2¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $22 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will CZ post 40-59 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 11.5¢ | 100¢ | +$997 | $129 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will CZ post 60-79 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 4.3¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $41 | 10/04/2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by April 7? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $50 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | $413 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $133 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 66.1¢ | 100¢ | +$128 | $452 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 29.4¢ | 0¢ | +$20 | $41 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Khamenei post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $60 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 91.3¢ | 100¢ | $-37 | $1,229 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will CZ post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 94.9¢ | 100¢ | $-51 | $175 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Khamenei post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 14.9¢ | 0¢ | $-71 | $97 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 73.0¢ | 0¢ | $-77 | $244 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will CZ post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 60.4¢ | 0¢ | $-196 | $322 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31? | No | 88.3¢ | 100¢ | +$106 | $814 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 24-30? | No | 33.0¢ | 100¢ | +$132 | $68 | 31/03/2026 |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 24-30? | No | 86.7¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $138 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15? | No | 86.2¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $115 | 31/03/2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 15? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $190 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 52.8¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | $145 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 80.8¢ | 100¢ | $-19 | $257 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next video? | Yes | 54.6¢ | 0¢ | +$9 | $54 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 49.8¢ | 100¢ | +$773 | $949 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Khamenei post 40-59 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 81.7¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $173 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 85.1¢ | 0¢ | $-219 | $561 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 42.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1,396 | $1,070 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Khamenei post 40-59 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 74.2¢ | 100¢ | +$146 | $754 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 75.9¢ | 0¢ | +$8 | $51 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Khamenei post 20-39 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | $-24 | $338 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Khamenei post 60-79 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 25.8¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | $55 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Khamenei post 20-39 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 81.4¢ | 0¢ | $-1,191 | $1,755 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 21, 2026? | Yes | 90.4¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | $599 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 16, 2026? | Yes | 60.2¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $105 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 19, 2026? | Yes | 87.3¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $395 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 23, 2026? | Yes | 80.5¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $171 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 20, 2026? | Yes | 81.9¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $197 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 22, 2026? | Yes | 85.6¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $166 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 18, 2026? | Yes | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $55 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 16, 2026? | No | 7.7¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $30 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 19? | Yes | 62.2¢ | 100¢ | +$104 | $375 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 20? | Yes | 88.9¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | $443 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 17? | Yes | 43.7¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | $96 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 24? | Yes | 80.7¢ | 0¢ | $-165 | $170 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 23? | Yes | 80.7¢ | 0¢ | $-172 | $172 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 22? | Yes | 80.6¢ | 0¢ | $-180 | $189 | 21/03/2026 |