Win rate
53.7%
29 W / 25 L
Total PnL
$26
realized $-842 · unrealized $868
Portfolio
$868
volume $259,726
Predictions
79
3.1/day · avg $3,288
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 14/05/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Elections 57% +$74
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 17¢ | 17¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 7¢ | 59¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 86¢ | 90¢ | +$62 | win |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 78¢ | 77¢ | +$7 | win |
Sports 57% +$9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 84¢ | 84¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 15¢ | 14¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 78¢ | 75¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 21¢ | 25¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
Economy 33% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5¢ | 4¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 95¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
Geopolitics 50% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 9¢ | 9¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$1 | win |
Other 53% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 95¢ | 98¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 5¢ | 6¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 97¢ | 89¢ | $-1 | loss |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? | No | 93¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | loss |
Politics 60% $-12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 63¢ | 61¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 39¢ | 39¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | No | 95¢ | 97¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 96¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
Crypto 33% $-47
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Yes | 36¢ | 100¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-30 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $1,467 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $477 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $487 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $473 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $227 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $471 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March? | Yes | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $950 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | +$35 | $64 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $803 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 7.2¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $75 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Yes | 36.2¢ | 100¢ | $-18 | $742 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | $-30 | $946 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $959 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 95.0¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | $1,048 | 29/04/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | No | 96.1¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $1,041 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | Yes | 1.1¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $23 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 96.3¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | $932 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | No | 95.2¢ | 97¢ | $-19 | $1,053 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? | No | 93.3¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | $1,030 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 11.9¢ | 11¢ | +$2 | $689 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $472 | 31/05/2026 |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | No | 97.8¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $474 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $32 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $519 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $526 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 96.6¢ | 89¢ | $-1 | $2,028 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 77.8¢ | 77¢ | +$7 | $965 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $786 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $533 | 16/06/2026 |
| Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 92.1¢ | 95¢ | +$5 | $772 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 21.4¢ | 25¢ | +$2 | $213 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 96.7¢ | 97¢ | +$1 | $975 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 77.6¢ | 75¢ | $-1 | $539 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $486 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 81.8¢ | 86¢ | +$1 | $1,396 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 95.1¢ | 96¢ | +$1 | $966 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 3.8¢ | 4¢ | +$1 | $32 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 5.6¢ | 4¢ | +$0 | $113 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | $-8 | $585 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 1.4¢ | 2¢ | $-8 | $29 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 15.2¢ | 14¢ | $-15 | $1,388 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $1,075 | 12/07/2026 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 94.8¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | $964 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7.7¢ | 7¢ | +$0 | $61 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 92.8¢ | 93¢ | +$0 | $1,061 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 97.7¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $1,068 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9.6¢ | 9¢ | +$0 | $105 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 90.1¢ | 91¢ | +$0 | $902 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16.2¢ | 16¢ | +$0 | $538 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 96.7¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $1,073 | 20/07/2026 |