AllTheWhimsy

Politics 64% +$1,976 $4,757 vol · 102 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?	Yes	16¢	12¢	$-6	loss
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 3+ times during TPUSA events on April 17?	Yes	61¢	97¢	+$107	win
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" in March?	Yes	68¢	100¢	+$33	win
Will Trump say "Cheat" or "Cheater" or "Cheated" or "Cheating" 10+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (March 22)	Yes	54¢	100¢	+$43	win
Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Japanese PM?	Yes	23¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 10+ times during Women's History Month event?	Yes	53¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during Miami address?	Yes	48¢	100¢	+$25	win
Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during Monday press conference?	Yes	94¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 8)	Yes	45¢	0¢	+$4	win

Culture 38% +$194 $771 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Silent Hill f win Outstanding Visual Style at the 2025 Steam Awards?	Yes	23¢	100¢	+$192	win
Will The Last of Us: Part II Remastered win Outstanding Story-Rich Game in the 2025 Steam Awards?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Will R.E.P.O. win Better With Friends at the 2025 Steam Awards?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-27	loss
Will Hades II win Best Game on Steam Deck at the 2025 Steam Awards?	No	4¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Best Game You Suck At in the 2025 Steam Awards?	No	6¢	0¢	$-53	loss
Will Spider-Man 2 win Best Soundtrack in the 2025 Steam Awards?	Yes	30¢	0¢	$-60	loss
Will 'Arc Raiders' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-53	loss
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?	No	22¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)	No	15¢	0¢	$-91	loss
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Audio Design at the 2025 Game Awards?	Yes	26¢	0¢	+$67	win

Sports 83% +$159 $1,586 vol · 30 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffs	KT Rolster Challengers	70¢	0¢	$-44	loss
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs	T1	74¢	0¢	$-111	loss
LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffs	Team Liquid	67¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	No	65¢	100¢	+$104	win
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?	Yes	63¢	100¢	+$184	win
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$3	win
Cardinals vs. Padres	Padres	24¢	0¢	+$29	win
Cardinals vs. Padres	Padres	86¢	100¢	+$8	win
Pirates vs. Rockies	Pirates	90¢	0¢	$-45	loss
Giants vs. Mets	Giants	87¢	100¢	+$6	win

Other 56% +$105 $6,110 vol · 107 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	59¢	66¢	+$3	win
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	78¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	42¢	100¢	+$31	win
Will MrBeast say "Lock In" during his next video?	No	54¢	100¢	+$35	win
Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" or "Subscribers" during his next video?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$12	win
Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	77¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Will MrBeast's next video get between 28 and 32 million views on day 2?	Yes	60¢	100¢	+$20	win
Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	41¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 50 and 55 million views on week 1?	Yes	56¢	100¢	+$29	win
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season	Fnatic	84¢	100¢	+$7	win

Geopolitics 100% +$59 $84 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	No	34¢	100¢	+$26	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	Yes	56¢	100¢	+$34	win

Tech 50% $-23 $96 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?	Yes	64¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?	No	26¢	0¢	$-45	loss

Economy 0% $-26 $26 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Powell say "Recession" during June Press Conference?	Yes	64¢	0¢	$-26	loss

Esports 61% $-55 $902 vol · 23 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs	G2 Esports	32¢	0¢	+$7	win
LoL: paiN Gaming vs Leviatan Esports - Game 4 Winner	Leviatan Esports	60¢	100¢	+$6	win
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Cup Play-In	Leviatan Esports	40¢	100¢	+$30	win
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)	Top Esports	77¢	100¢	+$8	win
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)	Gen.G	86¢	100¢	+$6	win
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)	Bilibili Gaming	53¢	0¢	$-53	loss
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner	Gen.G	71¢	100¢	$-2	loss
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)	Hanwha Life Esports	75¢	100¢	+$18	win
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)	Bilibili Gaming	65¢	0¢	$-21	loss
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1)	Hanwha Life Esports	60¢	0¢	$-30	loss

Elections 43% $-192 $8,274 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50¢	19¢	$-308	loss
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50¢	81¢	+$308	win
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-75	loss
Will Kast win by 10% to 15%?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-15	loss
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	No	60¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-74	loss
Will Franco Parisi endorse no candidate for President of Chile?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-16	loss
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?	No	15¢	0¢	$-28	loss