Win rate
38.2%
13 W / 21 L
Total PnL
$14,656
realized $-3,479 · unrealized $18,135
Portfolio
$18,135
volume $280,517
Predictions
33
1.2/day · avg $8,501
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 14/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 70% +$10,582
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | No | 8¢ | 1¢ | $-155 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | Yes | 23¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 67¢ | 70¢ | +$250 | win |
Politics 40% +$4,467
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Yes | 45¢ | 50¢ | +$908 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$4,449 | win |
Sports 24% $-254
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 18¢ | 15¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Magic vs. 76ers | 76ers | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$89 | win |
| Raptors vs. Celtics | Raptors | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Grizzlies vs. Bucks | Grizzlies | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Bucks vs. Rockets | Bucks | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Suns vs. Hornets | Suns | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Knicks vs. Grizzlies | Grizzlies | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| 76ers vs. Wizards | Wizards | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Pistons vs. Thunder | Pistons | 36¢ | 0¢ | +$143 | win |
| Wizards vs. Lakers | Wizards | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
Other 0% $-268
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 80¢ | 74¢ | $-82 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 32¢ | 36¢ | $-185 | loss |
Recent Trades (34)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 87.8¢ | 100¢ | +$4,449 | $32,000 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 8.4¢ | 93¢ | +$3,601 | $550 | 15/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. 76ers | 76ers | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$89 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| Raptors vs. Celtics | Raptors | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 05/04/2026 |
| Grizzlies vs. Bucks | Grizzlies | 24.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 05/04/2026 |
| Bucks vs. Rockets | Bucks | 7.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 02/04/2026 |
| Suns vs. Hornets | Suns | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 02/04/2026 |
| Knicks vs. Grizzlies | Grizzlies | 12.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 02/04/2026 |
| 76ers vs. Wizards | Wizards | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 01/04/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Thunder | Pistons | 36.4¢ | 0¢ | +$143 | $423 | 31/03/2026 |
| Wizards vs. Lakers | Wizards | 3.5¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 31/03/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Timberwolves | Timberwolves | 23.0¢ | 0¢ | +$28 | $50 | 28/03/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Pistons | Pistons | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 25/03/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Pistons | Pistons | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$162 | $150 | 23/03/2026 |
| Thunder vs. 76ers | 76ers | 4.4¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | $70 | 23/03/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Wizards | Wizards | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $-116 | $116 | 21/03/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | No | 77.4¢ | 72¢ | $-459 | $8,398 | 21/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 67.4¢ | 70¢ | +$250 | $5,499 | 22/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Yes | 44.6¢ | 50¢ | +$908 | $2,195 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | Yes | 23.0¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | $500 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | No | 41.4¢ | 6¢ | $-1 | $500 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 32.4¢ | 36¢ | $-185 | $3,300 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | Yes | 38.4¢ | 94¢ | +$952 | $999 | 15/05/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | No | 28.0¢ | 6¢ | +$47 | $400 | 15/05/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | Yes | 82.5¢ | 78¢ | $-242 | $4,000 | 31/05/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 80.5¢ | 74¢ | $-82 | $1,900 | 31/05/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | Yes | 88.9¢ | 84¢ | $-189 | $3,000 | 30/06/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | Yes | 58.1¢ | 97¢ | +$5,271 | $14,264 | 30/06/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | Yes | 78.7¢ | 99¢ | +$744 | $6,500 | 30/06/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | No | 20.3¢ | 3¢ | $-129 | $2,096 | 30/06/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | No | 7.8¢ | 1¢ | $-155 | $1,500 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 5.4¢ | 5¢ | $-34 | $250 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 12.2¢ | 12¢ | $-1 | $150 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 17.6¢ | 15¢ | $-30 | $200 | 01/07/2026 |